SK Rapid vs Hartberg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Riding their luck

Hartberg are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Hartberg 10% to winRapid Vienna 75%

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg score prediction

Admiral Bundesliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Rapid Vienna expected to score more than twice as many as Hartberg

3.0 goals in total, a little over the Admiral Bundesliga average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna ahead at half-time

Our model 48%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 4,204 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Rapid Vienna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,772 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Hartberg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hartberg 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,317 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna–
HartbergHartberg–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

155%
X23%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rapid Vienna17%83%45%55%
Hartberg42%58%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rapid Vienna70%30%87%14%
Hartberg91%9%97%3%

1st Half

148%
X35%
217%

1st Score

167%
X5%
228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

43%

X-1

16%

X-X

11%

2-2

9%

1-X

5%

X-2

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

1-0

9.4%

2-1

9.1%

2-0

8.3%

3-1

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

0-1

5.6%

1-2

5.5%

3-0

5.3%

0-0

5.3%

3-2

3.8%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg: the stats that stand out

Admiral Bundesliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Rapid Vienna: banker as favourites, brick wall and fast starters

Banker as favourites
Rapid Vienna7/7

Rapid Vienna won 7 of 7 as favourites (league 49%).

Brick wall
Rapid Vienna5/10

Rapid Vienna kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).

Fast starters
Rapid Vienna7/10

Rapid Vienna scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg: attack vs defence

Admiral Bundesliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Admiral Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna: good attack, good defence (1.76 xG, 1.32 xGA a game)
  • HartbergHartberg: weak attack, weak defence (1.03 xG, 1.98 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg form and luck check

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Admiral Bundesliga games

Hartberg are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Rapid Vienna
    Rapid ViennaBookmakers: 75% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals
    +3.8
  • Hartberg
    HartbergBookmakers: 10% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals
    +4.9

Last 5 matches

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
W
W
W
L
W
1st in table
HartbergHartberg
W
D
D
W
W
5th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Rapid Vienna 3rd of 12 · Hartberg 12th of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Admiral Bundesliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Rapid Vienna and Hartberg games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Admiral Bundesliga average (55%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Rapid Vienna8 of 10
Hartberg6 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Rapid Vienna4 of 10
Hartberg6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 187 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg corners, cards and goal times

Admiral Bundesliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Admiral Bundesliga average

Rapid Vienna

Hartberg

5.7

Corners won · league 4.9

3.0

3.6

Corners conceded · league 4.9

9.6

1.5

Cards · league 2.1

1.4

1.6

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

0.9

52%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

53%

24%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

20%

45%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

37%

36%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

32%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
4/5
HartbergHartberg
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
2/5
HartbergHartberg
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
4/5
HartbergHartberg
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
3/5
HartbergHartberg
1/5

First Half Result

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
3/5
HartbergHartberg
2/5

Correct Score

Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
0/5
HartbergHartberg
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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