United States vs Chile Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Friendly International - Season 2026 Friendlies 1 (Knock Out)
United States vs Chile — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Friendly International
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
United States to win
Our track record
In 974 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.5% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,617 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,035 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.3%).
Our model’s pick
United States ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.3% of the time (bookmakers said 52.0%).
Our model’s pick
United States 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,173 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
Chile 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
United States vs Chile — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for United States vs Chile. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
United States–
Chile–Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
United States–Chile–Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14% | 86% | 39% | 61% |
 | 47% | 53% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 83% | 17% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
45%
X-1
19%
X-X
13%
2-2
7%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
United States vs Chile — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
United StatesChileBoth Teams to Score
United StatesChileOver/Under 2.5 Goals
United StatesChileOver/Under 3.5 Goals
United StatesChileFirst Half Result
United StatesChileCorrect Score
United StatesChile