Querétaro vs Toluca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Querétaro vs Toluca — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 5 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
44.4% implied
Querétaro25%1/4-43.7%Below implied probability
Toluca25%1/4-43.7%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Querétaro50%2/4-8.1%Near implied probabilityToluca50%2/4-8.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.1% implied
Querétaro50%2/4-7.6%Near implied probabilityToluca50%2/4-7.6%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.1% implied
Querétaro75%3/4+22.7%Strongly above implied probabilityToluca75%3/4+22.7%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.6% implied
Querétaro50%2/4+29.5%Strongly above implied probabilityToluca75%3/4+94.3%Strongly above implied probabilityQuerétaro1/4Toluca0/4Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Querétaro and Toluca across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Toluca hit at 75% accuracy — that's 94.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Querétaro sit 43.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Querétaro vs Toluca — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Querétaro vs Toluca. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Querétaro–
Toluca–Winner
2 53%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Querétaro–Toluca–Winner
2 53%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 76% | 24% |
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
35%
X-2
20%
X-X
15%
1-1
9%
X-1
7%
1-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Querétaro vs Toluca — Prediction Form & Streaks
Toluca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Querétaro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Toluca well in the First Half Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
QuerétaroTolucaQuerétaroTolucaQuerétaroTolucaQuerétaroTolucaQuerétaroTolucaQuerétaroTolucaQuerétaro & Toluca Teams in Best Form
TolucaQuerétaro