Toronto vs New York City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Toronto vs New York City — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.7% implied
Toronto38.1%8/21-10.8%Below implied probability
New York City28.6%6/21-33%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Toronto76.2%16/21+40.1%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City71.4%15/21+31.3%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54% implied
Toronto52.4%11/21-3%Near implied probabilityNew York City61.9%13/21+14.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.8% implied
Toronto66.7%14/21+9.7%Above implied probabilityNew York City71.4%15/21+17.4%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38% implied
Toronto33.3%7/21-12.4%Below implied probabilityNew York City28.6%6/21-24.7%Below implied probabilityToronto3/21New York City3/21Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Toronto and New York City across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Both Teams To Score predictions for Toronto hit at 76% accuracy — that's 40.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for New York City sit 33% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Toronto vs New York City — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Toronto vs New York City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Toronto–
New York City–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Toronto–New York City–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
20%
X-X
15%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Toronto vs New York City — Prediction Form & Streaks
Toronto have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. New York City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading New York City well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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