Richards Bay kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 37%).
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027
Richards Bay are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Mamelodi Sundowns expected to score more than twice as many as Richards Bay
2.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical Premier League game (average 2.1).
goals expected
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
0-1 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
0-1 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 45% | 86% | 14% | |
| 19% | 81% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97% | 3% | 100% | 0% | |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
38%
X-2
21%
X-X
16%
1-1
7%
X-1
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
16.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Richards Bay: leaky · Mamelodi Sundowns: always on the scoresheet and fast starters
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)


More chances created (xG a game) →
Richards Bay: weak attack, weak defence (1.17 xG, 1.75 xGA a game)
Mamelodi Sundowns: good attack, good defence (2.11 xG, 1.08 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesRichards Bay are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
Richards Bay−4.3
Mamelodi SundownsClinical · +6 goals+0.1
Last 5 matches
Strength rank: Richards Bay 13th of 16 · Mamelodi Sundowns 2nd of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns games more often than the Premier League average (41%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameRichards Bay score late
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
5.8
Corners won · league 4.5
4.9
5.7
Corners conceded · league 4.5
3.5
1.3
Cards · league 1.8
2.0
1.1
Opponents' cards · league 1.8
1.6
36%
Goals before half-time · league 42%
46%
36%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
29%
32%
Conceded before half-time · league 42%
29%
32%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
29%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score