Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League - Season 2026/2027

Unlucky

Richards Bay are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns score prediction

Premier League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Mamelodi Sundowns expected to score more than twice as many as Richards Bay

2.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical Premier League game (average 2.1).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns will be played on Tuesday, October 13 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the of the Premier League, played in South Africa. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Richards BayRichards Bay–
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns–

Winner

2 61%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

114%
X25%
261%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Richards Bay55%45%86%14%
Mamelodi Sundowns19%81%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Richards Bay97%3%100%0%
Mamelodi Sundowns77%23%91%9%

1st Half

114%
X43%
243%

1st Score

123%
X10%
267%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

38%

X-2

21%

X-X

16%

1-1

7%

X-1

6%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

16.1%

0-2

13.1%

1-1

10.6%

0-0

10.1%

1-2

9.8%

0-3

6.5%

1-0

6.1%

1-3

4.9%

2-1

3.7%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: the stats that stand out

Premier League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Richards Bay: leaky · Mamelodi Sundowns: always on the scoresheet and fast starters

Leaky
Richards Bay0/10

Richards Bay kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 37%).

Always on the scoresheet
Mamelodi Sundowns0/10

Mamelodi Sundowns scored in all of their last 10 (league 37% fail to score).

Fast starters
Mamelodi Sundowns7/10

Mamelodi Sundowns scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 42%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: attack vs defence

Premier League

How to read it

other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Richards BayRichards Bay: weak attack, weak defence (1.17 xG, 1.75 xGA a game)
  • Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns: good attack, good defence (2.11 xG, 1.08 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns form and luck check

Premier League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League games

Richards Bay are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Richards Bay
    Richards Bay
    −4.3
  • Mamelodi Sundowns
    Mamelodi SundownsClinical · +6 goals
    +0.1

Last 5 matches

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
D
W
W
W
W
1st in table
Richards BayRichards Bay
L
L
L
D
D
14th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Richards Bay 13th of 16 · Mamelodi Sundowns 2nd of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Premier League

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns games more often than the Premier League average (41%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 32%
Richards Bay5 of 10
Mamelodi Sundowns6 of 10
BTTSleague 41%
Richards Bay9 of 10
Mamelodi Sundowns7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns corners, cards and goal times

Premier League

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Richards Bay score late

Richards Bay

Mamelodi Sundowns

5.8

Corners won · league 4.5

4.9

5.7

Corners conceded · league 4.5

3.5

1.3

Cards · league 1.8

2.0

1.1

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

1.6

36%

Goals before half-time · league 42%

46%

36%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

29%

32%

Conceded before half-time · league 42%

29%

32%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

29%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
4/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
2/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
0/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
2/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
4/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
2/5

First Half Result

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
2/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
1/5

Correct Score

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
0/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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