Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Torque vs Peñarol. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Torque vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 1 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

43% implied

Peñarol58.6%17/29+36.3%Strongly above implied probability
Torque60.7%17/28+41.2%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.5% implied

Peñarol44.8%13/29-17.8%Below implied probability
Torque42.9%12/28-21.3%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.9% implied

Peñarol48.3%14/29-10.4%Below implied probability
Torque39.3%11/28-27.1%Below implied probability
Peñarol75.9%22/29+28.6%Strongly above implied probability
Torque60.7%17/28+2.9%Above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Peñarol31%9/29-17.6%Below implied probability
Torque32.1%9/28-14.6%Below implied probability
Peñarol6.9%2/29
Torque7.1%2/28

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Torque and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Torque hit at 61% accuracy — that's 41.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 43%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Torque sit 27.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Torque vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Torque vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

TorqueTorque
PeñarolPeñarol

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

129%
X30%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Torque37%63%72%28%
Peñarol27%73%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Torque91%9%97%3%
Peñarol84%16%94%6%

1st Half

122%
X48%
229%

1st Score

143%
X9%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

20%

1-1

15%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.9%

0-1

11.0%

1-0

9.2%

0-0

9.2%

1-2

8.2%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.1%

2-2

5.5%

2-0

4.9%

1-3

3.7%

0-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Torque vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks

Torque have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Torque well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
3 in a row
TorqueTorque
5 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
TorqueTorque
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
TorqueTorque
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
TorqueTorque
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
TorqueTorque
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
TorqueTorque
0 in a row

Torque & Peñarol Teams in Best Form

TorqueTorque
W
W
W
W
W
PeñarolPeñarol
W
W
W
L
D
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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