Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 1)
Torque vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 1 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
46% implied
Peñarol56.5%13/23+22.8%Strongly above implied probability
Torque50%11/22+8.7%Above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.6% implied
Peñarol47.8%11/23-12.5%Below implied probabilityTorque50%11/22-8.4%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.5% implied
Peñarol52.2%12/23-4.2%Near implied probabilityTorque45.5%10/22-16.5%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.6% implied
Peñarol78.3%18/23+29.2%Strongly above implied probabilityTorque68.2%15/22+12.5%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.8% implied
Peñarol26.1%6/23-32.7%Below implied probabilityTorque36.4%8/22-6.2%Near implied probabilityPeñarol2/23Torque2/22Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Torque and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Peñarol hit at 78% accuracy — that's 29.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 32.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Torque vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Torque vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Torque–
Peñarol–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Torque–Peñarol–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
X-X
19%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Torque vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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