Botafogo vs Grêmio 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 21)
Botafogo vs Grêmio — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 21 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.9% implied
Botafogo50%14/28+16.6%Strongly above implied probability
Grêmio64.3%18/28+49.9%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Botafogo46.4%13/28-14.9%Below implied probabilityGrêmio67.9%19/28+24.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Botafogo35.7%10/28-33.8%Below implied probabilityGrêmio53.6%15/28-0.6%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.1% implied
Botafogo64.3%18/28+8.8%Above implied probabilityGrêmio82.1%23/28+38.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Botafogo35.7%10/28-5.1%Near implied probabilityGrêmio57.1%16/28+51.9%Strongly above implied probabilityBotafogo4/28Grêmio6/28Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Botafogo and Grêmio across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 57% accuracy — that's 51.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Botafogo sit 33.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Botafogo vs Grêmio 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Botafogo vs Grêmio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Botafogo3
Grêmio2Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Botafogo3Grêmio2Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Botafogo vs Grêmio — Prediction Form & Streaks
Botafogo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Grêmio have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
BotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogo & Grêmio Teams in Best Form
BotafogoGrêmio