Grêmio vs São Paulo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 22)
Grêmio vs São Paulo — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 22 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
45.9% implied
Grêmio60%12/20+30.7%Strongly above implied probability
São Paulo50%10/20+8.9%Above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.6% implied
Grêmio75%15/20+37.4%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo55%11/20+0.7%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.5% implied
Grêmio60%12/20+10.1%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo65%13/20+19.3%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.6% implied
Grêmio85%17/20+40.3%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo85%17/20+40.3%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.8% implied
Grêmio55%11/20+41.8%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo40%8/20+3.1%Above implied probabilityGrêmio4/20São Paulo4/20Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Grêmio and São Paulo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 55% accuracy — that's 41.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.
Grêmio vs São Paulo — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Grêmio vs São Paulo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Grêmio–
São Paulo–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Grêmio–São Paulo–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
18%
X-X
17%
2-2
11%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Grêmio vs São Paulo — Prediction Form & Streaks
Grêmio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table. São Paulo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading São Paulo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
GrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmio & São Paulo Teams in Best Form
GrêmioSão Paulo