Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 22)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 22 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

Bahia23.8%5/21-48.1%Below implied probability
Vasco da Gama45%9/20-2%Near implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.6% implied

Bahia66.7%14/21+22.2%Strongly above implied probability
Vasco da Gama40%8/20-26.7%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

Bahia42.9%9/21-21.3%Below implied probability
Vasco da Gama45%9/20-17.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.6% implied

Bahia81%17/21+33.7%Strongly above implied probability
Vasco da Gama80%16/20+32%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.8% implied

Bahia38.1%8/21-1.8%Near implied probability
Vasco da Gama35%7/20-9.8%Near implied probability
Bahia9.5%2/21
Vasco da Gama20%4/20

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Bahia and Vasco da Gama across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Bahia hit at 81% accuracy — that's 33.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Bahia sit 48.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BahiaBahia
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama

Winner

1 53%

BTTS**

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

153%
X26%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bahia20%80%52%48%
Vasco da Gama43%57%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bahia78%22%92%8%
Vasco da Gama93%7%99%1%

1st Half

138%
X44%
218%

1st Score

161%
X8%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

19%

X-X

16%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.7%

1-1

11.9%

2-1

10.2%

2-0

9.5%

0-0

8.2%

0-1

6.7%

1-2

5.7%

3-1

5.1%

3-0

5.0%

2-2

4.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama — Prediction Form & Streaks

Bahia have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Vasco da Gama have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Bahia well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
2 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
5 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
4 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
1 in a row

Bahia & Vasco da Gama Teams in Best Form

BahiaBahia
D
D
D
W
W
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
D
L
L
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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