Primera División Pronósticos y consejos de apuestas con IA para hoy
La Primera División de Uruguay es la élite del país. La disputan 16 equipos con ascensos/descensos. Se reconoce por su competitividad y por la calidad técnica de sus jugadores. Nacional y Peñarol son los gigantes históricos.
En la temporada 2025 de Primera División, la precisión de pronósticos 1X2 a tiempo completo es 64%, calculada según el rendimiento de nuestro modelo de IA en los últimos 100 partidos de la liga. La precisión de Ambos Equipos Marcan (BTTS) alcanza 55%. La exactitud en la predicción de marcador correcto es 13%. La precisión en Más/Menos 2.5 goles es 55%, mientras que en Más/Menos 3.5 goles es 80%.
Estos porcentajes reflejan la tasa de aciertos de nuestro modelo de inteligencia artificial en los últimos 100 partidos de la liga. Cuanto más cerca del 100 %, mejor el rendimiento del modelo. Gracias a técnicas avanzadas de aprendizaje automático y al análisis de datos históricos, nuestro modelo predice con precisión los resultados futuros de los partidos de fútbol, considerando diversos factores como la forma de los equipos, lesiones de jugadores, enfrentamientos directos y más.
Pronósticos para Primera División Uruguay
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 32% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 32% | 68% | 68% | 32% |
| Danubio | 43% | 57% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 67% | 33% | 75% | 25% |
| 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 32% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 68% | 32% |
 | 43% | 57% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 67% | 33% | 75% | 25% |
| 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torque | 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| Cerro Largo | 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
 | 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| 1 | 52% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
| Plaza Colonia | 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 59% | 41% | 70% | 30% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| 1 | 52% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
 | 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 59% | 41% | 70% | 30% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
| Liverpool | 43% | 57% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 57% | 43% | 68% | 32% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
 | 43% | 57% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 57% | 43% | 68% | 32% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| 1 | 37% | |
| X | 32% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| Wanderers | 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 65% | 35% | 74% | 26% |
| 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 1 | 37% | |
| X | 32% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
 | 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 65% | 35% | 74% | 26% |
| 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 1 | 43% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 30% | 70% | 66% | 34% |
| Miramar Misiones | 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 43% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 66% | 34% |
 | 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 41% | 59% | 75% | 25% |
| Racing | 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 40% | 70% | 30% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 41% | 59% | 75% | 25% |
 | 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 40% | 70% | 30% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 69% | |
| X | 20% | |
| 2 | 11% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 15% | 85% | 44% | 56% |
| Juventud | 59% | 41% | 89% | 11% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 54% | 46% | 66% | 34% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| 1 | 69% | |
| X | 20% | |
| 2 | 11% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15% | 85% | 44% | 56% |
 | 59% | 41% | 89% | 11% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 54% | 46% | 66% | 34% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
*La probabilidad de cada resultado previsto se expresa en porcentaje (%)
*BTTS - Ambos equipos marcan