Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Unlucky

Jahn Regensburg are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−7points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Jahn Regensburg 59% to winHavelse 19%

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse score prediction

3. Liga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.6 goals expected

3.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical 3. Liga game (average 3.3).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jahn Regensburg to win

Our model 57%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,739 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 55%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 6,319 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,821 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jahn Regensburg ahead at half-time

Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Jahn Regensburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jahn Regensburg 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,343 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Havelse Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Havelse 0–1 goals

Our model 74%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,266 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Jahn RegensburgJahn Regensburg–
HavelseHavelse–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

157%
X21%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jahn Regensburg18%82%45%55%
Havelse43%57%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jahn Regensburg71%29%87%13%
Havelse91%9%97%3%

1st Half

142%
X38%
220%

1st Score

161%
X6%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

4%

2-1

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

10.3%

1-0

9.9%

1-1

9.0%

2-0

8.5%

1-2

5.8%

0-0

5.8%

0-1

5.7%

3-1

5.7%

3-0

5.6%

2-2

5.3%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse: the stats that stand out

3. Liga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Jahn Regensburg: leaky · Havelse: always chasing

Leaky
Jahn Regensburg0/10

Jahn Regensburg kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).

Always chasing
Havelse7/10

Havelse conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse: attack vs defence

3. Liga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other 3. Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Jahn RegensburgJahn Regensburg: good attack, good defence (1.41 xG, 1.21 xGA a game)
  • HavelseHavelse: weak attack, weak defence (0.83 xG, 1.86 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse form and luck check

3. Liga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 3. Liga games

Jahn Regensburg are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Jahn Regensburg
    Jahn RegensburgBookmakers: 59% to win today.
    −6.7
  • Havelse
    HavelseBookmakers: 19% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals
    +0.7

Last 5 matches

HavelseHavelse
L
L
D
L
W
20th in table
Jahn RegensburgJahn Regensburg
D
L
D
L
L
18th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Jahn Regensburg 13th of 20 · Havelse 20th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

3. Liga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 3. Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Jahn Regensburg and Havelse games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the 3. Liga average (65%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
Jahn Regensburg7 of 10
Havelse9 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Jahn Regensburg7 of 10
Havelse8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 350 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse corners, cards and goal times

3. Liga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the 3. Liga average

Jahn Regensburg

Havelse

4.8

Corners won · league 5.2

3.8

4.3

Corners conceded · league 5.2

6.1

2.8

Cards · league 2.4

2.8

2.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.4

1.7

53%

Goals before half-time · league 45%

43%

7%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

21%

40%

Conceded before half-time · league 45%

48%

30%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

26%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

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Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse Score Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips, Oct 10, 2026 | MyGameOdds