LASK Linz won 8 of 10 as favourites (league 49%).
Austria Lustenau vs LASK Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
More goals than usual expected in Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz score prediction
Admiral Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.2 goals expected
3.2 goals in total: more goals than a typical Admiral Bundesliga game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Admiral Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
LASK Linz to win
Our track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,906 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
LASK Linz ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,003 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Austria Lustenau 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
LASK Linz 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 66% | 34% | |
| 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% | |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
1-1
16%
X-X
14%
X-2
14%
X-1
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz: the stats that stand out
Admiral Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%LASK Linz: banker as favourites and always on the scoresheet · Austria Lustenau: fast starters
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz: attack vs defence
Admiral Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Admiral Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)


More chances created (xG a game) →
Austria Lustenau: weak attack, weak defence (1.40 xG, 1.81 xGA a game)
LASK Linz: good attack, good defence (2.18 xG, 0.85 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz form and luck check
Admiral Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
Austria LustenauBookmakers: 13% to win today. · 7 of 10 games+1.0
LASK LinzBookmakers: 68% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+1.1
Last 5 matches
Strength rank: Austria Lustenau 9th of 12 · LASK Linz 1st of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Admiral Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Admiral Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredAustria Lustenau and LASK Linz games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Admiral Bundesliga average (55%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 187 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz corners, cards and goal times
Admiral Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAustria Lustenau: last 7 with these statsAustria Lustenau score early
Austria Lustenau
LASK Linz
5.6
Corners won · league 4.9
6.9
7.6
Corners conceded · league 4.9
2.1
2.4
Cards · league 2.1
1.6
1.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.4
75%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
48%
0%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
19%
36%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
44%
18%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score