Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · AFC Champions League Elite
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Newcastle Jets to win
Our track record
In 1,009 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Newcastle Jets 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,342 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Gamba Osaka 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Newcastle Jets–
Gamba Osaka–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Newcastle Jets–Gamba Osaka–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 55% | 45% |
 | 28% | 72% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
22%
X-1
13%
X-X
11%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
2-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Newcastle JetsGamba OsakaBoth Teams to Score
Newcastle JetsGamba OsakaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Newcastle JetsGamba OsakaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Newcastle JetsGamba OsakaFirst Half Result
Newcastle JetsGamba OsakaCorrect Score
Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka