Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Botola Pro - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Botola Pro
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Amal Tiznit to win
Our track record
In 3,389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,509 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Amal Tiznit 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,385 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Difaâ El Jadida 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% | |
| 46% | 54% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
21%
X-1
18%
X-2
10%
2-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.5%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Botola Pro
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Botola Pro gamesBTTS = both teams scoredDifaâ El Jadida games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Botola Pro average (39%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida form and luck check
Botola Pro
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Botola Pro gamesDifaâ El Jadida: results in line with their chances
Difaâ El JadidaBookmakers: 30% to win today. · 8 of 10 games+1.0
Last 5 matches
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Amal Tiznit vs Difaâ El Jadida corners, cards and goal times
Botola Pro
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameDifaâ El Jadida: corners from the last 9, cards from the last 10Goal times close to the Botola Pro average
Amal Tiznit
Difaâ El Jadida
–
Corners won · league 4.0
4.6
–
Corners conceded · league 4.0
3.4
–
Cards · league 2.5
2.1
–
Opponents' cards · league 2.5
2.4
–
Goals before half-time · league 45%
42%
–
Goals after 75' · league 25%
25%
–
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
63%
–
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
11%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score