FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Elversberg to win
Our track record
In 1,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,896 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
FC Union Berlin 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Elversberg 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,581 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
FC Union Berlin–
Elversberg–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
FC Union Berlin–Elversberg–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 64% | 36% |
 | 28% | 72% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 81% | 19% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
1-1
19%
X-X
14%
X-2
13%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Union Berlin vs Elversberg — Recent Form
Elversberg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. FC Union Berlin have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Last 5 matches
ElversbergFC Union BerlinOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Union BerlinElversbergBoth Teams to Score
FC Union BerlinElversbergOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Union BerlinElversbergOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Union BerlinElversbergFirst Half Result
FC Union BerlinElversbergCorrect Score
FC Union BerlinElversberg