Shot-shy
4/10Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 21%).
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Wasteful
TSG Hoffenheim are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: TSG Hoffenheim 49% to winBorussia Mönchengladbach 28%
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim score prediction
Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.4 goals in total, a little over the Bundesliga average of 3.3.
goals expected
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
TSG Hoffenheim1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 3,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 2,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 3,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 2,286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim ahead at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 1,968 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Borussia Mönchengladbach Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,342 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
TSG Hoffenheim Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 38%
Our track record
In 811 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Borussia Mönchengladbach–
TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Borussia Mönchengladbach–TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
135%
X24%
241%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 59% | 41% |
| 25% | 75% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
125%
X37%
239%
1st Score
142%
X5%
252%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
1-1
17%
X-X
13%
X-2
13%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: the stats that stand out
Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Borussia Mönchengladbach: shot-shy · TSG Hoffenheim: fast starters
4/10Fast starters
7/10TSG Hoffenheim scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: attack vs defence
Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: weak attack, weak defence (1.38 xG, 1.96 xGA a game)
- TSG Hoffenheim: good attack, good defence (1.83 xG, 1.49 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim form and luck check
Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Borussia MönchengladbachBookmakers: 28% to win today.−1.5
- TSG HoffenheimBookmakers: 49% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−2.9
Last 5 matches
TSG HoffenheimL
W
L
L
Borussia MönchengladbachL
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Borussia Mönchengladbach 13th of 15 · TSG Hoffenheim 6th of 15
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 15 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredTSG Hoffenheim games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Bundesliga average (66%), Borussia Mönchengladbach games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
Borussia Mönchengladbach6 of 10
TSG Hoffenheim9 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Borussia Mönchengladbach4 of 10
TSG Hoffenheim8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 288 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim corners, cards and goal times
Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameTSG Hoffenheim score early, Borussia Mönchengladbach late
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
4.1
Corners won · league 4.9
6.5
5.9
Corners conceded · league 4.9
4.3
3.2
Cards · league 1.9
2.7
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.1
46%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
65%
38%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
6%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
38%
43%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
29%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Borussia Mönchengladbach4/4
TSG Hoffenheim1/4
Both Teams to Score
Borussia Mönchengladbach2/4
TSG Hoffenheim4/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach4/4
TSG Hoffenheim4/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach1/4
TSG Hoffenheim1/4
First Half Result
Borussia Mönchengladbach2/4
TSG Hoffenheim1/4
Correct Score
Borussia Mönchengladbach0/4
TSG Hoffenheim0/4
correct predictionwrong prediction