Manchester City vs Newcastle United 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Carabao Cup - Season 2025/2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

The match between Manchester City and Newcastle United ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Manchester City win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Manchester City vs Newcastle United 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Manchester City vs Newcastle United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Manchester CityManchester City3
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

161%
X19%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Manchester City15%86%39%61%
Newcastle United45%55%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Manchester City66%34%84%16%
Newcastle United92%8%97%3%

1st Half

149%
X34%
217%

1st Score

164%
X4%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

19%

X-X

9%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

10.7%

2-0

9.5%

1-1

9.1%

1-0

8.4%

3-0

6.7%

3-1

6.3%

1-2

5.2%

2-2

5.1%

0-1

4.5%

0-0

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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