Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Portsmouth vs Derby County — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 4 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.1% implied
Portsmouth33.3%1/3-20.9%Below implied probability
Derby County0%0/3-100%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Portsmouth100%3/3+83.8%Strongly above implied probabilityDerby County66.7%2/3+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Portsmouth100%3/3+85.5%Strongly above implied probabilityDerby County66.7%2/3+23.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.3% implied
Portsmouth33.3%1/3-44.8%Below implied probabilityDerby County66.7%2/3+10.6%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Portsmouth0%0/3-100%Below implied probabilityDerby County0%0/3-100%Below implied probabilityPortsmouth0/3Derby County0/3Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Portsmouth and Derby County across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Portsmouth hit at 100% accuracy — that's 85.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Derby County sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Portsmouth vs Derby County — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Portsmouth vs Derby County. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Portsmouth–
Derby County–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Portsmouth–Derby County–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
19%
X-X
18%
X-2
14%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Portsmouth vs Derby County — Prediction Form & Streaks
Portsmouth have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Derby County have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 21th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Portsmouth well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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