West Ham United vs Derby County Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
West Ham United vs Derby County — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 5 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
West Ham United0%0/3-100%Below implied probability
Derby County0%0/3-100%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
West Ham United66.7%2/3+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityDerby County66.7%2/3+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
West Ham United33.3%1/3-38.2%Below implied probabilityDerby County66.7%2/3+23.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.5% implied
West Ham United66.7%2/3+10.2%Strongly above implied probabilityDerby County66.7%2/3+10.2%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
West Ham United33.3%1/3-11.7%Below implied probabilityDerby County0%0/3-100%Below implied probabilityWest Ham United1/3Derby County0/3Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for West Ham United and Derby County across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Derby County hit at 67% accuracy — that's 23.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for West Ham United sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
West Ham United vs Derby County — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for West Ham United vs Derby County. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
West Ham United–
Derby County–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
West Ham United–Derby County–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 57% | 43% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
19%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
West Ham United vs Derby County — Prediction Form & Streaks
West Ham United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 19th in the table. Derby County have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 21th in the table.
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