Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Sudamericana
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Boca Juniors to win
Our track record
In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 54.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 4,208 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Boca Juniors 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Vasco da Gama 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,510 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Boca Juniors–
Vasco da Gama–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Boca Juniors–Vasco da Gama–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
 | 48% | 52% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
20%
X-X
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
14.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Vasco da GamaBoca JuniorsBoth Teams to Score
Vasco da GamaBoca JuniorsOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Vasco da GamaBoca JuniorsOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Vasco da GamaBoca JuniorsFirst Half Result
Vasco da GamaBoca JuniorsCorrect Score
Vasco da GamaBoca Juniors