Lille vs Dunkerque 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Coupe de France - Season 2024/2025 Round of 16 (Knock Out)
Lille vs Dunkerque — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Coupe de France
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Lille to win
WrongOur track record
In 597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,069 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Lille ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,564 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Lille 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Dunkerque 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Lille vs Dunkerque 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lille vs Dunkerque. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Lille1
Dunkerque1Winner
1 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Lille1Dunkerque1Winner
1 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12% | 88% | 37% | 63% |
 | 50% | 50% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
20%
X-X
13%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.3%
2-1
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score