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Cup of Portugal Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Cup of Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 10 October 2026.
Taça De Portugal Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · 3rd Round
Full-Time Result
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
75%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
17%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Taça De Portugal 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 58%, BTTS 58%, Over/Under 2.5 54%, Over/Under 3.5 75%, correct score 17%.
Cup of Portugal stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 152 matchesGoals a match
3
Corners a match
9.72
Cards a match
2.44
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 0 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Cup of Portugal: the stats that stand out
The Cup of Portugal teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games5/7Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Taça De Portugal
Free predictions for today's Cup of Portugal matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
União Santarém–
Gil Vicente–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
União Santarém–Gil Vicente–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
124%
X26%
251%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 43% | 57% | 76% | 24% |
 | 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 65% | 35% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
Chaves–
Os Marialvas–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Chaves–Os Marialvas–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
AVS–
Moreirense–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
AVS–Moreirense–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Vianense–
Leixões–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Vianense–Leixões–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Atlético CP–
Vizela–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético CP–Vizela–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Farense–
AD Marco 09–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Farense–AD Marco 09–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Sanjoanense–
Nacional–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Sanjoanense–Nacional–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Florgrade–
Portimonense–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Florgrade–Portimonense–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Fazendense–
Estrela Amadora–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Fazendense–Estrela Amadora–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
União de Leiria–
Bragança–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
União de Leiria–Bragança–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Penafiel–
Leca–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Penafiel–Leca–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Louletano–
Rio Ave–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Louletano–Rio Ave–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Académica–
Amarante–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Académica–Amarante–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
CF Os Belenenses–
Arouca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
CF Os Belenenses–Arouca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Fátima–
Academico Viseu–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Fátima–Academico Viseu–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Alpendorada–
Casa Pia–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Alpendorada–Casa Pia–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Mafra–
Santa Clara–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Mafra–Santa Clara–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Tondela–
Alverca–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Tondela–Alverca–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Alcochetense–
Marítimo–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Alcochetense–Marítimo–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Salgueiros–
Estoril–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Salgueiros–Estoril–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Brito–
Vitória de Sernache–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Brito–Vitória de Sernache–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Lusitania FC Lourosa–
Os Limianos–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Lusitania FC Lourosa–Os Limianos–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Felgueiras 1932–
Fafe–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Felgueiras 1932–Fafe–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Paredes–
Famalicão–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Paredes–Famalicão–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cup of Portugal Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Cup of Portugal this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
51 matches
35.3%
Season (51) · 35.3% vs 40.5%
Season
−5.2
±11.9
30 days (27) · 33.3% vs 37.2%
30 days
−3.8
±15.4
Draws
51 matches
25.5%
Season (51) · 25.5% vs 23.6%
Season
+1.9
±11.6
30 days (27) · 11.1% vs 22.5%
30 days
−11.4
±15.7
Away wins
51 matches
39.2%
Season (51) · 39.2% vs 35.9%
Season
+3.3
±11.7
30 days (27) · 55.6% vs 40.3%
30 days
+15.3
±15.9
Over 2.5 goals
51 matches
52.9%
Season (51) · 52.9% vs 48.5%
Season
+4.5
±13.6
30 days (27) · 48.1% vs 49.9%
30 days
−1.8
±18.7
Both teams scored
50 matches
46.0%
Season (50) · 46.0% vs 45.9%
Season
+0.1
±13.7
30 days (27) · 48.1% vs 45.7%
30 days
+2.5
±18.7
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
50 matches
38.0%
Season (50) · 38.0% vs 26.8%
Season
+11.2
±12.1
30 days (27) · 37.0% vs 27.9%
30 days
+9.1
±16.8
Home side ahead at half-time
51 matches
31.4%
Season (51) · 31.4% vs 30.7%
Season
+0.6
±11.9
30 days (27) · 37.0% vs 27.9%
30 days
+9.1
±15.6
Level at half-time
51 matches
37.3%
Season (51) · 37.3% vs 41.3%
Season
−4.1
±13.5
30 days (27) · 22.2% vs 40.4%
30 days
−18.2
±18.5
Away side ahead at half-time
51 matches
31.4%
Season (51) · 31.4% vs 27.9%
Season
+3.4
±11.6
30 days (27) · 40.7% vs 31.7%
30 days
+9.1
±16.3
Home team scored 2+
50 matches
34.0%
Season (50) · 34.0% vs 38.1%
Season
−4.1
±12.4
30 days (27) · 29.6% vs 35.8%
30 days
−6.2
±16.5
Away team scored 2+
47 matches
42.6%
Season (47) · 42.6% vs 35.8%
Season
+6.8
±12.7
30 days (27) · 44.4% vs 39.1%
30 days
+5.4
±16.8
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 51 | 35.3% | 40.5% | −5.2 | ±11.9 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 27 | 33.3% | 37.2% | −3.8 | ±15.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 51 | 25.5% | 23.6% | +1.9 | ±11.6 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 27 | 11.1% | 22.5% | −11.4 | ±15.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 51 | 39.2% | 35.9% | +3.3 | ±11.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 27 | 55.6% | 40.3% | +15.3 | ±15.9 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 51 | 52.9% | 48.5% | +4.5 | ±13.6 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 27 | 48.1% | 49.9% | −1.8 | ±18.7 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 50 | 46.0% | 45.9% | +0.1 | ±13.7 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 27 | 48.1% | 45.7% | +2.5 | ±18.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 50 | 38.0% | 26.8% | +11.2 | ±12.1 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 27 | 37.0% | 27.9% | +9.1 | ±16.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 51 | 31.4% | 30.7% | +0.6 | ±11.9 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 27 | 37.0% | 27.9% | +9.1 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 51 | 37.3% | 41.3% | −4.1 | ±13.5 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 27 | 22.2% | 40.4% | −18.2 | ±18.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 51 | 31.4% | 27.9% | +3.4 | ±11.6 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 27 | 40.7% | 31.7% | +9.1 | ±16.3 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 50 | 34.0% | 38.1% | −4.1 | ±12.4 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 27 | 29.6% | 35.8% | −6.2 | ±16.5 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 47 | 42.6% | 35.8% | +6.8 | ±12.7 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 27 | 44.4% | 39.1% | +5.4 | ±16.8 | Normal range |
About Cup of Portugal
The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
The Taça de Portugal, also known as the Portuguese Cup, is an annual football cup competition in Portugal. It features teams from all levels of Portuguese football, from amateur clubs to top-tier teams. The Taça de Portugal has a rich history and is known for its dramatic matches and giant-killing upsets.