Always chasing
8/10Go Ahead Eagles conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Unlucky
Sparta Rotterdam are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Sparta Rotterdam 22% to winGo Ahead Eagles 55%
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam score prediction
Eredivisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.4 goals in total, a little over the Eredivisie average of 3.3.
goals expected
Go Ahead Eagles1.9
Sparta Rotterdam1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Go Ahead Eagles to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 2,422 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Go Ahead Eagles ahead at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 1,968 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Go Ahead Eagles Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Go Ahead Eagles 2+ goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Sparta Rotterdam Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Go Ahead Eagles–
Sparta Rotterdam–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Go Ahead Eagles–Sparta Rotterdam–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
151%
X24%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 46% | 54% |
| 37% | 63% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 87% | 13% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
139%
X34%
226%
1st Score
156%
X5%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: the stats that stand out
Eredivisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Go Ahead Eagles: always chasing, leaky and always on the scoresheet
8/10Leaky
0/10Go Ahead Eagles kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 20%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Go Ahead Eagles scored in all of their last 10 (league 20% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: attack vs defence
Eredivisie
How to read it
other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Go Ahead Eagles: weak attack, weak defence (1.56 xG, 1.93 xGA a game)
- Sparta Rotterdam: weak attack, weak defence (1.44 xG, 1.82 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam form and luck check
Eredivisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie gamesSparta Rotterdam are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Go Ahead EaglesBookmakers: 55% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals−0.2
- Sparta RotterdamBookmakers: 22% to win today.−4.8
Last 5 matches
Go Ahead EaglesD
D
D
L
W
Sparta RotterdamL
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Go Ahead Eagles 11th of 18 · Sparta Rotterdam 12th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eredivisie
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam games more often than the Eredivisie average (64%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
Go Ahead Eagles8 of 10
Sparta Rotterdam9 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Go Ahead Eagles10 of 10
Sparta Rotterdam7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam corners, cards and goal times
Eredivisie
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Eredivisie average
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
6.2
Corners won · league 5.3
5.5
5.4
Corners conceded · league 5.3
6.8
1.4
Cards · league 1.6
1.5
0.7
Opponents' cards · league 1.6
1.2
30%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
36%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
21%
55%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
35%
23%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
Sparta Rotterdam1/5
Both Teams to Score
Go Ahead Eagles4/5
Sparta Rotterdam4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
Sparta Rotterdam5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
Sparta Rotterdam1/5
First Half Result
Go Ahead Eagles1/5
Sparta Rotterdam2/5
Correct Score
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
Sparta Rotterdam0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction