Telstar vs Feyenoord Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Riding their luck

Telstar are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Telstar 12% to winFeyenoord 72%

Telstar vs Feyenoord score prediction

Eredivisie

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Feyenoord expected to score more than twice as many as Telstar

3.4 goals in total, a little over the Eredivisie average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Telstar vs Feyenoord: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Telstar vs Feyenoord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Feyenoord to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,737 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 5,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 223 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Feyenoord ahead at half-time

Our model 45%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Telstar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Telstar 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Feyenoord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Feyenoord 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Telstar vs Feyenoord — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Telstar vs Feyenoord. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

TelstarTelstar–
FeyenoordFeyenoord–

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

122%
X23%
255%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Telstar42%58%73%27%
Feyenoord18%82%45%55%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Telstar90%10%97%3%
Feyenoord70%30%86%14%

1st Half

124%
X31%
245%

1st Score

138%
X5%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

36%

1-1

15%

X-2

14%

X-X

11%

X-1

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.1%

0-1

9.5%

1-2

9.1%

0-2

8.6%

1-3

6.2%

2-2

5.5%

0-0

5.5%

1-0

5.2%

2-1

5.2%

0-3

5.0%

2-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Telstar vs Feyenoord: the stats that stand out

Eredivisie

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Telstar: shot-shy · Feyenoord: brick wall and fast starters

Shot-shy
Telstar4/10

Telstar failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 20%).

Brick wall
Feyenoord4/10

Feyenoord kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 20%).

Fast starters
Feyenoord7/10

Feyenoord scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Telstar vs Feyenoord: attack vs defence

Eredivisie

How to read it

other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • TelstarTelstar: weak attack, weak defence (1.06 xG, 1.88 xGA a game)
  • FeyenoordFeyenoord: good attack, good defence (2.41 xG, 0.92 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Telstar vs Feyenoord form and luck check

Eredivisie

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie games

Telstar are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Telstar
    TelstarBookmakers: 12% to win today.
    +4.3
  • Feyenoord
    FeyenoordBookmakers: 72% to win today.
    −0.4

Last 5 matches

FeyenoordFeyenoord
W
W
W
D
W
2nd in table
TelstarTelstar
L
D
L
D
L
13th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Telstar 13th of 18 · Feyenoord 2nd of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Telstar vs Feyenoord: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Eredivisie

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Telstar and Feyenoord games less often than the Eredivisie average (64%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
Telstar6 of 10
Feyenoord7 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Telstar5 of 10
Feyenoord6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Telstar vs Feyenoord corners, cards and goal times

Eredivisie

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Telstar score late

Telstar

Feyenoord

3.5

Corners won · league 5.3

7.0

6.9

Corners conceded · league 5.3

3.2

1.6

Cards · league 1.6

1.0

2.0

Opponents' cards · league 1.6

1.2

36%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

43%

36%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

20%

29%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

22%

29%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

22%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

FeyenoordFeyenoord
4/5
TelstarTelstar
3/5

Both Teams to Score

FeyenoordFeyenoord
3/5
TelstarTelstar
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

FeyenoordFeyenoord
5/5
TelstarTelstar
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

FeyenoordFeyenoord
0/5
TelstarTelstar
3/5

First Half Result

FeyenoordFeyenoord
4/5
TelstarTelstar
3/5

Correct Score

FeyenoordFeyenoord
0/5
TelstarTelstar
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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