Always chasing
8/10Go Ahead Eagles conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).
PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Clinical
Go Ahead Eagles are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Go Ahead Eagles 42% to winPEC Zwolle 34%
PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles score prediction
Eredivisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.3 goals in total, in line with the Eredivisie average of 3.3.
goals expected
PEC Zwolle1.5Go Ahead Eagles1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Go Ahead Eagles to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 4,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 6,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
PEC Zwolle Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
PEC Zwolle 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 74 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 65–70%.
Go Ahead Eagles Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
PEC Zwolle–
Go Ahead Eagles–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
PEC Zwolle–Go Ahead Eagles–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
132%
X26%
242%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
| 27% | 73% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
127%
X43%
231%
1st Score
141%
X7%
252%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-X
14%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: the stats that stand out
Eredivisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Go Ahead Eagles: always chasing and leaky · PEC Zwolle: shot-shy
8/10Shot-shy
4/10PEC Zwolle failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 20%).
Leaky
0/10Go Ahead Eagles kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 20%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: attack vs defence
Eredivisie
How to read it
other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- PEC Zwolle: weak attack, weak defence (1.05 xG, 2.17 xGA a game)
- Go Ahead Eagles: weak attack, weak defence (1.56 xG, 1.93 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles form and luck check
Eredivisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- PEC ZwolleBookmakers: 34% to win today.+1.5
- Go Ahead EaglesBookmakers: 42% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals−0.2
Last 5 matches
Go Ahead EaglesD
D
D
L
W
PEC ZwolleL
L
D
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: PEC Zwolle 18th of 18 · Go Ahead Eagles 11th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eredivisie
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Go Ahead Eagles games more often than the Eredivisie average (64%), in PEC Zwolle games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
PEC Zwolle6 of 10
Go Ahead Eagles8 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
PEC Zwolle4 of 10
Go Ahead Eagles10 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles corners, cards and goal times
Eredivisie
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Eredivisie average
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
3.9
Corners won · league 5.3
6.2
7.5
Corners conceded · league 5.3
5.4
1.3
Cards · league 1.6
1.4
1.0
Opponents' cards · league 1.6
0.7
44%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
30%
22%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
25%
40%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
55%
24%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
PEC Zwolle3/5
Both Teams to Score
Go Ahead Eagles4/5
PEC Zwolle3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
PEC Zwolle4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
PEC Zwolle2/5
First Half Result
Go Ahead Eagles1/5
PEC Zwolle2/5
Correct Score
Go Ahead Eagles2/5
PEC Zwolle0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction