Ashington AFC vs Thornaby 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

The match between Ashington AFC and Thornaby ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Ashington AFC win at 59% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lower Breck – Thornaby prediction & betting tips (Sep 5, 2026).

Ashington AFC vs Thornaby — FA Cup Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Preliminary Round

Full-Time Result

42.8% implied

Ashington AFC50%1/2+16.8%Strongly above implied probability
Thornaby0%0/2-100%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Ashington AFC50%1/2-8.1%Near implied probability
Thornaby50%1/2-8.1%Near implied probability
Ashington AFC50%1/2-7.4%Near implied probability
Thornaby50%1/2-7.4%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.8% implied

Ashington AFC50%1/2-17.8%Below implied probability
Thornaby50%1/2-17.8%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38% implied

Ashington AFC50%1/2+31.6%Strongly above implied probability
Thornaby100%2/2+163.2%Strongly above implied probability
Ashington AFC0%0/2
Thornaby0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Ashington AFC and Thornaby across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Thornaby hit at 100% accuracy — that's 163.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 38%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Thornaby sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Ashington AFC vs Thornaby 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ashington AFC vs Thornaby. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ashington AFCAshington AFC2
ThornabyThornaby3

Winner

1 59%

BTTS**

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

159%
X20%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%71%29%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ashington AFC17%83%41%59%
Thornaby45%55%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ashington AFC65%35%82%18%
Thornaby90%10%97%3%

1st Half

135%
X47%
218%

1st Score

157%
X5%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

23%

X-X

15%

2-2

11%

X-2

10%

1-X

4%

2-X

3%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

2-1

8.8%

1-1

8.6%

2-0

8.0%

1-0

7.9%

3-1

6.1%

3-0

6.1%

2-2

5.2%

1-2

4.9%

0-0

4.9%

0-1

4.5%

3-2

3.6%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ashington AFC vs Thornaby — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Ashington AFCAshington AFC
0 in a row
ThornabyThornaby
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Ashington AFCAshington AFC
1 in a row
ThornabyThornaby
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Ashington AFCAshington AFC
1 in a row
ThornabyThornaby
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Ashington AFCAshington AFC
0 in a row
ThornabyThornaby
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Ashington AFCAshington AFC
1 in a row
ThornabyThornaby
2 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Ashington AFCAshington AFC
0 in a row
ThornabyThornaby
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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