Hereford Pegasus vs Lutterworth Town 3-5 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 Extra Preliminary Round Replays (Qualifying)

The match between Hereford Pegasus and Lutterworth Town ended 3-5. Our AI model correctly predicted an Lutterworth Town win with 46% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Hereford Pegasus vs Lutterworth Town — FA Cup Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Extra Preliminary Round Replays

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

Lutterworth Town0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Hereford Pegasus0%0/1-100%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Lutterworth Town0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Hereford Pegasus0%0/1-100%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.3% implied

Lutterworth Town0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Hereford Pegasus0%0/1-100%Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.9% implied

Lutterworth Town100%1/1+64.2%Strongly above implied probability
Hereford Pegasus100%1/1+64.2%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.9% implied

Lutterworth Town100%1/1+157.1%Strongly above implied probability
Hereford Pegasus100%1/1+157.1%Strongly above implied probability
Lutterworth Town0%0/1
Hereford Pegasus0%0/1

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Hereford Pegasus and Lutterworth Town across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Lutterworth Town hit at 100% accuracy — that's 157.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Lutterworth Town sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Hereford Pegasus vs Lutterworth Town 3-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hereford Pegasus vs Lutterworth Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus3
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town5

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS**

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-2 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 61%

Full Time

134%
X20%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%29%71%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT39%61%65%35%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hereford Pegasus32%68%57%43%
Lutterworth Town23%77%46%54%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hereford Pegasus78%22%90%10%
Lutterworth Town69%31%84%16%

1st Half

120%
X54%
226%

1st Score

145%
X3%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

X-X

21%

X-2

19%

1-1

14%

X-1

14%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

7.9%

1-1

7.5%

2-1

6.4%

2-2

6.2%

1-3

5.5%

0-2

5.2%

0-1

4.9%

2-3

4.4%

1-0

4.3%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

3.6%

2-0

3.5%

0-3

3.4%

0-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hereford Pegasus vs Lutterworth Town — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town
0 in a row
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town
0 in a row
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town
0 in a row
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town
1 in a row
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town
1 in a row
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Lutterworth TownLutterworth Town
0 in a row
Hereford PegasusHereford Pegasus
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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