Raynes Park Vale vs Merstham 4-3 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 Extra Preliminary Round Replays (Qualifying)

The match between Raynes Park Vale and Merstham ended 4-3. Our AI model predicted an Merstham win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Raynes Park Vale vs Merstham — FA Cup Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Extra Preliminary Round Replays

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

Merstham0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Raynes Park Vale0%0/1-100%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Merstham100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probability
Raynes Park Vale100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.3% implied

Merstham100%1/1+84.2%Strongly above implied probability
Raynes Park Vale100%1/1+84.2%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.8% implied

Merstham0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Raynes Park Vale0%0/1-100%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38.9% implied

Merstham100%1/1+157.1%Strongly above implied probability
Raynes Park Vale100%1/1+157.1%Strongly above implied probability
Merstham0%0/1
Raynes Park Vale0%0/1

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Raynes Park Vale and Merstham across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Merstham hit at 100% accuracy — that's 157.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Merstham sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Raynes Park Vale vs Merstham 4-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Raynes Park Vale vs Merstham. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale4
MersthamMerstham3

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS**

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

Full Time

133%
X21%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT44%56%68%32%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Raynes Park Vale34%66%60%40%
Merstham24%76%48%52%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Raynes Park Vale80%20%92%8%
Merstham71%29%85%15%

1st Half

129%
X37%
235%

1st Score

146%
X4%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

1-1

21%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

X-X

11%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

8.4%

1-2

7.3%

2-1

6.5%

0-2

5.9%

0-1

5.8%

2-2

5.8%

1-3

5.3%

1-0

5.0%

0-0

4.4%

2-0

4.2%

2-3

3.8%

3-1

3.7%

0-3

3.5%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Raynes Park Vale vs Merstham — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
MersthamMerstham
0 in a row
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
MersthamMerstham
1 in a row
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
MersthamMerstham
1 in a row
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
MersthamMerstham
0 in a row
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
MersthamMerstham
1 in a row
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
MersthamMerstham
0 in a row
Raynes Park ValeRaynes Park Vale
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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