Marlow vs Newport Pagnell Town FC 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 Extra Preliminary Round Replays (Qualifying)
Marlow vs Newport Pagnell Town FC — FA Cup Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Extra Preliminary Round Replays
Full-Time Result
45.9% implied
Marlow0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Newport Pagnell Town FC0%0/1-100%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Marlow100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probabilityNewport Pagnell Town FC100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.3% implied
Marlow100%1/1+84.2%Strongly above implied probabilityNewport Pagnell Town FC100%1/1+84.2%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.8% implied
Marlow0%0/1-100%Below implied probabilityNewport Pagnell Town FC0%0/1-100%Below implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
Marlow0%0/1-100%Below implied probabilityNewport Pagnell Town FC0%0/1-100%Below implied probabilityMarlow0/1Newport Pagnell Town FC0/1Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Marlow and Newport Pagnell Town FC across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Marlow hit at 100% accuracy — that's 84.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Marlow sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Marlow vs Newport Pagnell Town FC 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Marlow vs Newport Pagnell Town FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Marlow5
Newport Pagnell Town FC1Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 59%
Marlow5Newport Pagnell Town FC1Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 41% | 59% | 66% | 34% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 39% | 62% |
| 42% | 58% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 38% | 80% | 20% |
| 86% | 14% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
13%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
Correct Score
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Marlow vs Newport Pagnell Town FC — Prediction Form & Streaks
MarlowNewport Pagnell Town FCMarlowNewport Pagnell Town FCMarlowNewport Pagnell Town FCMarlowNewport Pagnell Town FCMarlowNewport Pagnell Town FCMarlowNewport Pagnell Town FC