Slow starters
3/10Aris Limassol scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Unlucky
Aris Limassol are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−7points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 9 with xG
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Aris Limassol 47% to winOlympiakos 26%
Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol score prediction
1. Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the 1. Division average of 2.7.
goals expected
Olympiakos1.2Aris Limassol1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Aris Limassol to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Olympiakos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Olympiakos 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 2,625 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Aris Limassol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Aris Limassol 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 1,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Olympiakos–
Aris Limassol–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Olympiakos–Aris Limassol–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
129%
X27%
244%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 68% | 32% |
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
125%
X44%
231%
1st Score
142%
X8%
250%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
17%
X-X
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol: the stats that stand out
1. Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Aris Limassol: slow starters
3/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol: attack vs defence
1. Division
How to read it
other 1. Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Olympiakos: weak attack, good defence (1.23 xG, 1.06 xGA a game)
- Aris Limassol: good attack, good defence (1.59 xG, 1.09 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol form and luck check
1. Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division gamesAris Limassol are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- OlympiakosBookmakers: 26% to win today. · 8 of 10 games+2.6
- Aris LimassolBookmakers: 47% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals−7.3
Last 5 matches
Aris LimassolD
W
L
D
OlympiakosD
D
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Olympiakos 12th of 14 · Aris Limassol 4th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. Division
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Olympiakos games more often than the 1. Division average (48%), in Aris Limassol games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Olympiakos6 of 10
Aris Limassol5 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Olympiakos7 of 10
Aris Limassol4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 226 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Olympiakos vs Aris Limassol corners, cards and goal times
1. Division
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the 1. Division average
Olympiakos
Aris Limassol
5.1
Corners won · league 4.5
5.5
5.0
Corners conceded · league 4.5
2.9
1.6
Cards · league 2.4
2.5
2.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.5
47%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
10%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
30%
46%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
50%
15%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
5%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Aris Limassol2/4
Olympiakos0/4
Both Teams to Score
Aris Limassol2/4
Olympiakos3/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Aris Limassol3/4
Olympiakos3/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Aris Limassol2/4
Olympiakos2/4
First Half Result
Aris Limassol3/4
Olympiakos2/4
Correct Score
Aris Limassol0/4
Olympiakos1/4
correct predictionwrong prediction