Fast starters
8/10AEK Larnaca scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Riding their luck
AEK Larnaca are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: AEK Larnaca 73% to winOmonia Aradippou 9%
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou score prediction
1. Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
AEK Larnaca expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, in line with the 1. Division average of 2.7.
goals expected
AEK Larnaca1.8
Omonia Aradippou0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AEK Larnaca to win
Our model 64%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 1,034 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 4,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AEK Larnaca ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 4,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
AEK Larnaca Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AEK Larnaca 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 3,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Omonia Aradippou Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Omonia Aradippou 0–1 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AEK Larnaca–
Omonia Aradippou–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
AEK Larnaca–Omonia Aradippou–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
164%
X21%
215%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 43% | 57% |
| 51% | 49% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
146%
X39%
214%
1st Score
167%
X7%
226%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
40%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: the stats that stand out
1. Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%AEK Larnaca: fast starters · Omonia Aradippou: leaky and flop as favourites
8/10Leaky
1/10Omonia Aradippou kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 29%).
Flop as favourites
2/6Omonia Aradippou won only 2 of 6 as favourites (league 58%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: attack vs defence
1. Division
How to read it
other 1. Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- AEK Larnaca: weak attack, weak defence (1.26 xG, 1.38 xGA a game)
- Omonia Aradippou: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 1.36 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou form and luck check
1. Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division gamesAEK Larnaca are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- AEK LarnacaBookmakers: 73% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+6.1
- Omonia AradippouBookmakers: 9% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals+0.3
Last 5 matches
AEK LarnacaW
L
W
W
Omonia AradippouD
D
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: AEK Larnaca 3rd of 14 · Omonia Aradippou 10th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. Division
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou games more often than the 1. Division average (48%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
AEK Larnaca5 of 10
Omonia Aradippou5 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
AEK Larnaca6 of 10
Omonia Aradippou8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 226 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou corners, cards and goal times
1. Division
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the 1. Division average
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
3.4
Corners won · league 4.5
4.8
4.6
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.5
2.0
Cards · league 2.4
2.6
3.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
1.9
53%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
27%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
36%
18%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
42%
55%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
42%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AEK Larnaca2/4
Omonia Aradippou1/4
Both Teams to Score
AEK Larnaca3/4
Omonia Aradippou4/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
AEK Larnaca4/4
Omonia Aradippou2/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
AEK Larnaca2/4
Omonia Aradippou4/4
First Half Result
AEK Larnaca2/4
Omonia Aradippou1/4
Correct Score
AEK Larnaca0/4
Omonia Aradippou1/4
correct predictionwrong prediction