Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Riding their luck

AEL are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 9 with xG

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL score prediction

1. Division

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.6 goals in total, a little under the 1. Division average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Omonia Aradippou vs AEL will be played on Sunday, October 18 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 6 of the 1. Division, played in Cyprus. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Omonia Aradippou vs AEL, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Omonia Aradippou vs AEL. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou–
AELAEL–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

148%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Omonia Aradippou23%77%55%45%
AEL38%62%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Omonia Aradippou80%20%93%7%
AEL91%9%97%3%

1st Half

135%
X42%
223%

1st Score

153%
X8%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.2%

0-0

7.8%

0-1

7.6%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.4%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.2%

0-2

4.1%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL: the stats that stand out

1. Division

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

AEL: fast starters · Omonia Aradippou: leaky and flop as favourites

Fast starters
AEL7/10

AEL scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Leaky
Omonia Aradippou1/10

Omonia Aradippou kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 29%).

Flop as favourites
Omonia Aradippou2/6

Omonia Aradippou won only 2 of 6 as favourites (league 58%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL: attack vs defence

1. Division

How to read it

other 1. Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 1.36 xGA a game)
  • AELAEL: good attack, good defence (1.44 xG, 1.11 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL form and luck check

1. Division

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division games

AEL are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Omonia Aradippou
    Omonia AradippouWasteful · −4 goals
    +0.3
  • AEL
    AEL9 of 10 games
    +4.8

Last 5 matches

AELAEL
W
W
L
W
2nd in table
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
D
D
W
D
6th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Omonia Aradippou 10th of 14 · AEL 7th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

1. Division

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Omonia Aradippou and AEL games more often than the 1. Division average (48%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Omonia Aradippou5 of 10
AEL6 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Omonia Aradippou8 of 10
AEL5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 226 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL corners, cards and goal times

1. Division

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

AEL score late

Omonia Aradippou

AEL

4.8

Corners won · league 4.5

3.4

4.5

Corners conceded · league 4.5

4.8

2.6

Cards · league 2.4

2.7

1.9

Opponents' cards · league 2.4

2.8

27%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

33%

36%

Goals after 75' · league 27%

40%

42%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

43%

42%

Conceded after 75' · league 27%

36%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

AELAEL
2/4
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
1/4

Both Teams to Score

AELAEL
1/4
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
4/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

AELAEL
3/4
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
2/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

AELAEL
3/4
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
4/4

First Half Result

AELAEL
0/4
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
1/4

Correct Score

AELAEL
0/4
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
1/4
correct predictionwrong prediction

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