United States vs Mexico Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Friendly International - Season 2026 Friendlies 1 (Knock Out)
United States vs Mexico — Friendly International Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Friendlies 1
Full-Time Result
43.2% implied
United States80%4/5+85.2%Strongly above implied probability
Mexico55.6%5/9+28.7%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
United States60%3/5+10.3%Strongly above implied probabilityMexico55.6%5/9+2.2%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
United States60%3/5+11.5%Strongly above implied probabilityMexico55.6%5/9+3.3%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.3% implied
United States40%2/5-32.5%Below implied probabilityMexico77.8%7/9+31.2%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
United States20%1/5-46.8%Below implied probabilityMexico37.5%3/8-0.3%Near implied probabilityUnited States0/5Mexico3/9Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for United States and Mexico across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for United States hit at 80% accuracy — that's 85.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for United States sit 46.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
United States vs Mexico — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for United States vs Mexico. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
United States–
Mexico–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
United States–Mexico–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 64% | 36% |
| 26% | 74% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
X-X
19%
1-1
16%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
United States vs Mexico — Prediction Form & Streaks
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