United States vs Canada Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Friendly International - Season 2026 Friendlies 1 (Knock Out)
United States vs Canada — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Friendly International
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
United States to win
Our track record
In 1,940 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
United States vs Canada — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for United States vs Canada. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
United States–
Canada–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
United States–Canada–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
 | 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
X-X
20%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
United States vs Canada — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
United StatesCanadaBoth Teams to Score
United StatesCanadaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
United StatesCanadaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
United StatesCanadaFirst Half Result
United StatesCanadaCorrect Score
United StatesCanada