Morocco vs Mali Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Friendly International - Season 2026 Friendlies 1 (Knock Out)
Morocco vs Mali — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Friendly International
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Morocco to win
Our track record
In 599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 387 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 65.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Morocco ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 4,208 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Morocco 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,773 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Mali 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 134 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 88.1% of the time (bookmakers said 88.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Morocco vs Mali — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Morocco vs Mali. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Morocco–
Mali–Winner
1 67%
BTTS**
No 65%
Correct Score
1-0 18%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Morocco–Mali–Winner
1 67%
BTTS**
No 65%
Correct Score
1-0 18%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17% | 84% | 47% | 53% |
 | 62% | 38% | 90% | 10% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
44%
X-1
23%
X-X
15%
2-2
5%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-X
3%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
17.7%
2-0
15.4%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Morocco vs Mali — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MoroccoMaliBoth Teams to Score
MoroccoMaliOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MoroccoMaliOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MoroccoMaliFirst Half Result
MoroccoMaliCorrect Score
MoroccoMali