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1. HNL

HNL Predictions & Stats

The Croatian First Football League, also known as the Prva HNL, is the top professional football league in Croatia. It consists of 10 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Croatian Second Football League. The Croatian First Football League is known for its competitive matches and talented players. GNK Dinamo Zagreb is the most successful club in Croatian football history, having won numerous league titles.

1. HNL Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 35 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

42.9% Implied Probability

+23.5% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

49%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.3% Implied Probability

-9.8% Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.8% Implied Probability

-5.2% Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

70%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

60.9% Implied Probability

+14.9% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

37.9% Implied Probability

+31.9% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

17%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes 1. HNL matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for 1. HNL currently hit at 17%.

First Half Result is our strongest 1. HNL betting market this season with 50% prediction accuracy — that's 31.9% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 37.9%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in 1. HNL.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 9.8% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 49%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for 1. HNL Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven 1. HNL football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for 1. HNL Croatia

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Vukovar	28%	72%	62%	38%
Varaždin	30%	70%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0
11.7%	9.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.8%	7.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	30%	70%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0
11.7%	9.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.8%	7.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Gorica	27%	73%	61%	39%
Osijek	33%	67%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.2%	10.2%	9.1%	9.0%	8.3%	7.7%	6.8%

Full Time


1	41%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	61%	39%
	33%	67%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.2%	10.2%	9.1%	9.0%	8.3%	7.7%	6.8%

Full Time


1	23%
X	26%
2	51%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lokomotiva Zagreb	41%	59%	74%	26%
Hajduk Split	21%	79%	51%	49%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.2%	10.7%	10.3%	8.6%	8.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	23%
X	26%
2	51%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	41%	59%	74%	26%
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.2%	10.7%	10.3%	8.6%	8.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	16%
X	21%
2	63%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Slaven Koprivnica	49%	51%	79%	21%
Dinamo Zagreb	14%	86%	39%	61%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	0-1	1-1	1-3	0-3
10.0%	10.0%	9.7%	9.3%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	16%
X	21%
2	63%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	49%	51%	79%	21%
	14%	86%	39%	61%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	0-1	1-1	1-3	0-3
10.0%	10.0%	9.7%	9.3%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	26%
X	26%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Istra 1961	37%	63%	71%	29%
Rijeka	22%	78%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0	2-1
11.7%	10.6%	10.1%	7.9%	7.3%	7.0%	6.9%

Full Time


1	26%
X	26%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	71%	29%
	22%	78%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0	2-1
11.7%	10.6%	10.1%	7.9%	7.3%	7.0%	6.9%

Full Time


1	75%
X	16%
2	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Dinamo Zagreb	9%	91%	30%	70%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	59%	41%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	3-0	1-1	3-1
12.6%	10.2%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%	6.9%

Full Time


1	75%
X	16%
2	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	9%	91%	30%	70%
	59%	41%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	3-0	1-1	3-1
12.6%	10.2%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%	6.9%

Full Time


1	79%
X	14%
2	7%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Hajduk Split	8%	92%	29%	71%
Vukovar	64%	36%	90%	10%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-0	3-0	1-0	2-1	3-1	1-1
13.6%	11.3%	11.3%	9.3%	7.0%	6.8%

Full Time


1	79%
X	14%
2	7%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	8%	92%	29%	71%
	64%	36%	90%	10%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-0	3-0	1-0	2-1	3-1	1-1
13.6%	11.3%	11.3%	9.3%	7.0%	6.8%

Full Time


1	58%
X	23%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Rijeka	17%	83%	47%	53%
Gorica	46%	54%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	3-0
11.9%	10.8%	10.3%	10.3%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	58%
X	23%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	47%	53%
	46%	54%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	3-0
11.9%	10.8%	10.3%	10.3%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	28%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Osijek	26%	75%	59%	41%
Slaven Koprivnica	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.2%	10.3%	9.1%	8.3%	8.2%	7.2%	7.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	28%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	75%	59%	41%
	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.2%	10.3%	9.1%	8.3%	8.2%	7.2%	7.2%

Full Time


1	46%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Varaždin	25%	75%	58%	42%
Istra 1961	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.5%	11.8%	9.4%	8.4%	8.2%	8.2%	6.8%

Full Time


1	46%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	58%	42%
	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.5%	11.8%	9.4%	8.4%	8.2%	8.2%	6.8%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Vukovar	28%	72%	62%	38%
Varaždin	30%	70%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0
11.7%	9.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.8%	7.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	30%	70%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0
11.7%	9.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.8%	7.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Gorica	27%	73%	61%	39%
Osijek	33%	67%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.2%	10.2%	9.1%	9.0%	8.3%	7.7%	6.8%

Full Time


1	41%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	61%	39%
	33%	67%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.2%	10.2%	9.1%	9.0%	8.3%	7.7%	6.8%

Full Time


1	23%
X	26%
2	51%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lokomotiva Zagreb	41%	59%	74%	26%
Hajduk Split	21%	79%	51%	49%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.2%	10.7%	10.3%	8.6%	8.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	23%
X	26%
2	51%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	41%	59%	74%	26%
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.2%	10.7%	10.3%	8.6%	8.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	16%
X	21%
2	63%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Slaven Koprivnica	49%	51%	79%	21%
Dinamo Zagreb	14%	86%	39%	61%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	0-1	1-1	1-3	0-3
10.0%	10.0%	9.7%	9.3%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	16%
X	21%
2	63%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	49%	51%	79%	21%
	14%	86%	39%	61%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-2	0-2	0-1	1-1	1-3	0-3
10.0%	10.0%	9.7%	9.3%	6.7%	6.6%

Full Time


1	26%
X	26%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Istra 1961	37%	63%	71%	29%
Rijeka	22%	78%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0	2-1
11.7%	10.6%	10.1%	7.9%	7.3%	7.0%	6.9%

Full Time


1	26%
X	26%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	71%	29%
	22%	78%	54%	46%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0	2-1
11.7%	10.6%	10.1%	7.9%	7.3%	7.0%	6.9%

Full Time


1	75%
X	16%
2	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Dinamo Zagreb	9%	91%	30%	70%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	59%	41%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	3-0	1-1	3-1
12.6%	10.2%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%	6.9%

Full Time


1	75%
X	16%
2	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	9%	91%	30%	70%
	59%	41%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	38%	62%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	3-0	1-1	3-1
12.6%	10.2%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%	6.9%

Full Time


1	79%
X	14%
2	7%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Hajduk Split	8%	92%	29%	71%
Vukovar	64%	36%	90%	10%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-0	3-0	1-0	2-1	3-1	1-1
13.6%	11.3%	11.3%	9.3%	7.0%	6.8%

Full Time


1	79%
X	14%
2	7%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	8%	92%	29%	71%
	64%	36%	90%	10%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-0	3-0	1-0	2-1	3-1	1-1
13.6%	11.3%	11.3%	9.3%	7.0%	6.8%

Full Time


1	58%
X	23%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Rijeka	17%	83%	47%	53%
Gorica	46%	54%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	3-0
11.9%	10.8%	10.3%	10.3%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	58%
X	23%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	47%	53%
	46%	54%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	3-0
11.9%	10.8%	10.3%	10.3%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	28%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Osijek	26%	75%	59%	41%
Slaven Koprivnica	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.2%	10.3%	9.1%	8.3%	8.2%	7.2%	7.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	28%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	75%	59%	41%
	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
13.2%	10.3%	9.1%	8.3%	8.2%	7.2%	7.2%

Full Time


1	46%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Varaždin	25%	75%	58%	42%
Istra 1961	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.5%	11.8%	9.4%	8.4%	8.2%	8.2%	6.8%

Full Time


1	46%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	58%	42%
	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.5%	11.8%	9.4%	8.4%	8.2%	8.2%	6.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

1. HNL Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every 1. HNL betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Dinamo Zagreb leads First Half Result predictions with 56% accuracy (19 correct out of 34 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next 1. HNL bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights 1. HNL teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

1. HNL Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Dinamo Zagreb

74%(25/34)

Hajduk Split

62%(21/34)

Gorica

53%(18/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Gorica

5 in a row

Dinamo Zagreb

4 in a row

Hajduk Split

2 in a row

1. HNL Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lokomotiva Zagreb

68%(23/34)

Slaven Koprivnica

59%(20/34)

Rijeka

59%(20/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Istra 1961

2 in a row

Lokomotiva Zagreb

2 in a row

Slaven Koprivnica

0 in a row

1. HNL Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Dinamo Zagreb

59%(20/34)

Hajduk Split

59%(20/34)

Varaždin

59%(20/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Varaždin

5 in a row

Osijek

1 in a row

Dinamo Zagreb

0 in a row

1. HNL Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Osijek

82%(28/34)

Istra 1961

79%(27/34)

Lokomotiva Zagreb

79%(27/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Lokomotiva Zagreb

5 in a row

Osijek

5 in a row

Gorica

5 in a row

1. HNL First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Dinamo Zagreb

56%(19/34)

Vukovar

53%(18/34)

Varaždin

49%(16/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Vukovar

5 in a row

Slaven Koprivnica

1 in a row

Rijeka

1 in a row

1. HNL Teams in Best Form

Dinamo Zagreb

Rijeka

Lokomotiva Zagreb

HNL Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Dinamo Zagreb	34	82	26	4	4	89:27	+62	W W W W D
2 Hajduk Split	34	64	19	7	8	54:32	+22	L W D L D
3 Rijeka	34	49	13	10	11	47:36	+11	W W D L D
4 Varaždin	34	48	13	9	12	43:46	-3	D L L W W
5 Istra 1961	34	42	12	6	16	39:48	-9	W W L L L