Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2025 (Round 2)

The match between Cerezo Osaka and Shonan Bellmare ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Cerezo Osaka win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cerezo Osaka – Yokohama F. Marinos prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).

Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cerezo Osaka to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,273 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,128 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,882 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,647 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.8% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.4%).

Cerezo Osaka Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cerezo Osaka 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,512 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Shonan Bellmare Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shonan Bellmare 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,993 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1
Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

144%
X25%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Cerezo Osaka24%76%55%45%
Shonan Bellmare34%66%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Cerezo Osaka79%21%92%8%
Shonan Bellmare86%14%95%5%

1st Half

132%
X46%
222%

1st Score

154%
X6%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

18%

X-X

17%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

1-0

9.2%

2-1

8.9%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

7.2%

0-1

7.0%

0-0

6.1%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

3.8%

3-2

3.3%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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