Always on the scoresheet
1/10Sanfrecce Hiroshima failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Always on the scoresheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
1/10Failed to score · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima score prediction
J-League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total, in line with the J-League average of 2.8.
goals expected
V-Varen Nagasaki1.0Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be played on Wednesday, October 21 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 11 of the J-League, played in Japan. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
V-Varen Nagasaki–
Sanfrecce Hiroshima–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
V-Varen Nagasaki–Sanfrecce Hiroshima–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
123%
X24%
253%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 75% | 25% |
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
119%
X40%
241%
1st Score
131%
X7%
262%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
35%
X-2
17%
X-X
13%
1-1
11%
X-1
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the stats that stand out
J-League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Sanfrecce Hiroshima: always on the scoresheet, hard to break and brick wall
1/10Hard to break
3/10Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Brick wall
4/10Sanfrecce Hiroshima kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: attack vs defence
J-League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- V-Varen Nagasaki: weak attack, weak defence (1.29 xG, 1.48 xGA a game)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima: good attack, good defence (2.26 xG, 0.79 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima form and luck check
J-League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- V-Varen Nagasaki8 of 10 games−0.4
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima−1.7
Last 5 matches
Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
W
L
W
D
V-Varen NagasakiD
W
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: V-Varen Nagasaki 18th of 20 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1st of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
J-League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredV-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the J-League average (51%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
V-Varen Nagasaki5 of 8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima7 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
V-Varen Nagasaki5 of 8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 132 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima corners, cards and goal times
J-League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameV-Varen Nagasaki: last 8 with these statsGoal times close to the J-League average
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4.1
Corners won · league 4.7
7.3
4.4
Corners conceded · league 4.7
2.8
1.4
Cards · league 1.4
1.1
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 1.4
1.9
40%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
38%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
29%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
50%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki3/5
Both Teams to Score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki3/5
First Half Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Correct Score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0/5
V-Varen Nagasaki1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction