Always on the scoresheet
0/10Daejeon Citizen scored in all of their last 10 (league 29% fail to score).
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 32)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju
2.8goals expected · K-League 1 average 2.5
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 61%
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju score prediction
K-League 1
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.8 goals expected
2.8 goals in total: more goals than a typical K-League 1 game (average 2.5).
goals expected
Daejeon Citizen1.9
Gwangju1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · K-League 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Daejeon Citizen to win
Our model 62%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 1,045 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 4,515 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 2,178 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Daejeon Citizen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Daejeon Citizen 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,418 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Gwangju Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Gwangju 0–1 goals
Our model 81%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Daejeon Citizen–
Gwangju–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Daejeon Citizen–Gwangju–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
162%
X24%
215%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 43% | 57% |
| 49% | 51% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
142%
X44%
214%
1st Score
166%
X6%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
22%
X-X
16%
2-2
7%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
10.6%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju: the stats that stand out
K-League 1
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Daejeon Citizen: always on the scoresheet and banker as favourites · Gwangju: always chasing
0/10Always chasing
7/10Gwangju conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Banker as favourites
6/9Daejeon Citizen won 6 of 9 as favourites (league 43%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju: attack vs defence
K-League 1
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other K-League 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Daejeon Citizen: good attack, good defence (1.58 xG, 1.18 xGA a game)
- Gwangju: good attack, weak defence (1.41 xG, 1.75 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju form and luck check
K-League 1
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 K-League 1 gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Daejeon CitizenBookmakers: 67% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals+2.7
- GwangjuBookmakers: 14% to win today. · 9 of 10 games−3.8
Last 5 matches
Daejeon CitizenW
D
D
W
W
GwangjuW
D
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Daejeon Citizen 4th of 12 · Gwangju 12th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
K-League 1
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 K-League 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredDaejeon Citizen and Gwangju games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the K-League 1 average (45%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 45%
Daejeon Citizen9 of 10
Gwangju6 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Daejeon Citizen8 of 10
Gwangju7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 222 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju corners, cards and goal times
K-League 1
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameDaejeon Citizen score late
Daejeon Citizen
Gwangju
5.7
Corners won · league 4.4
3.5
2.7
Corners conceded · league 4.4
4.7
1.6
Cards · league 1.9
1.6
1.5
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.1
22%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
50%
39%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
29%
27%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
47%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
32%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Gwangju1/5
Daejeon Citizen3/5
Both Teams to Score
Gwangju2/5
Daejeon Citizen4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Gwangju3/5
Daejeon Citizen1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Gwangju2/5
Daejeon Citizen2/5
First Half Result
Gwangju4/5
Daejeon Citizen1/5
Correct Score
Gwangju1/5
Daejeon Citizen1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction