Albacete vs Castellón 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga 2 - Season 2024/2025 (Round 18)
Albacete0–0
CastellónOn these chances Albacete would usually take 2.0 points and Castellón 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Albacete.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Albacete vs Castellón stats: how the match was played
La Liga 2
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Albacete had more than twice the shots on target
Albacete
Castellón
2
Shots on target
0
3
Big chances
0
4
Corners
6
0
Yellow cards
1
29%
Possession
71%
Albacete vs Castellón — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Albacete to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,440 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,407 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,816 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Albacete 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,784 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Castellón 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,324 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Albacete vs Castellón 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Albacete vs Castellón. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Albacete0
Castellón0Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Albacete0Castellón0Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
19%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score