FC Andorra vs Castellón 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
FC Andorra1–0
CastellónOn these chances FC Andorra would usually take 2.0 points and Castellón 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Castellón.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Andorra vs Castellón stats: how the match was played
La Liga 2
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Andorra had more than twice the shots on target
FC Andorra
Castellón
8
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
0
4
Corners
7
4
Yellow cards
2
44%
Possession
56%
FC Andorra vs Castellón — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Castellón to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,906 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,003 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
FC Andorra 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Castellón 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 977 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Andorra vs Castellón 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Andorra vs Castellón. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Andorra1
Castellón0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
FC Andorra1Castellón0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
| 21% | 79% | 51% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
19%
X-X
15%
X-2
13%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
10.3%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Andorra vs Castellón — Recent Form
Castellón have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. FC Andorra have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
CastellónFC AndorraOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC AndorraCastellónBoth Teams to Score
FC AndorraCastellónOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC AndorraCastellónOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC AndorraCastellónFirst Half Result
FC AndorraCastellónCorrect Score
FC AndorraCastellón