Brick wall
6/8Mallorca kept 6 clean sheets in their last 8 (league 27%).
Mallorca vs Las Palmas Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Bore draw alert
Fewer goals than usual expected in Mallorca vs Las Palmas
2.2goals expected · La Liga 2 average 2.6
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 53%
Mallorca vs Las Palmas score prediction
La Liga 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected
2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the La Liga 2 average is 2.6).
goals expected
Mallorca1.3
Las Palmas0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Mallorca vs Las Palmas: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Mallorca vs Las Palmas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Mallorca to win
Our model 48%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,063 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,866 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Mallorca Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Mallorca 0–1 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,821 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Las Palmas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Las Palmas 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Mallorca vs Las Palmas — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Mallorca vs Las Palmas. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Mallorca–
Las Palmas–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Mallorca–Las Palmas–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
148%
X25%
227%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
| 36% | 64% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
133%
X43%
224%
1st Score
156%
X6%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
17%
X-1
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Mallorca vs Las Palmas: the stats that stand out
La Liga 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Mallorca: brick wall, shot-shy and hard to break
6/8Shot-shy
4/8Mallorca failed to score in 4 of their last 8 (league 27%).
Hard to break
2/8Mallorca conceded first in only 2 of their last 8 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Mallorca vs Las Palmas: attack vs defence
La Liga 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Mallorca: weak attack, good defence (1.25 xG, 1.06 xGA a game)
- Las Palmas: weak attack, weak defence (1.11 xG, 1.49 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Mallorca vs Las Palmas form and luck check
La Liga 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga 2 gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- MallorcaBookmakers: 60% to win today. · 8 of 10 games+1.0
- Las PalmasBookmakers: 16% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+0.8
Last 5 matches
MallorcaD
L
W
W
D
Las PalmasD
L
L
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Mallorca 4th of 22 · Las Palmas 9th of 22
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 22 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Mallorca vs Las Palmas: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent La Liga 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Mallorca games less often than the La Liga 2 average (54%), in Las Palmas games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Mallorca1 of 8
Las Palmas5 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Mallorca0 of 8
Las Palmas6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 468 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Mallorca vs Las Palmas corners, cards and goal times
La Liga 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameMallorca: last 8 with these statsGoal times close to the La Liga 2 average
Mallorca
Las Palmas
4.3
Corners won · league 4.7
3.9
4.6
Corners conceded · league 4.7
5.2
3.1
Cards · league 2.7
2.3
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.7
2.0
38%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
46%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
23%
67%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
33%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Mallorca2/5
Las Palmas1/5
Both Teams to Score
Mallorca2/5
Las Palmas2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Mallorca4/5
Las Palmas3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Mallorca5/5
Las Palmas3/5
First Half Result
Mallorca3/5
Las Palmas2/5
Correct Score
Mallorca0/5
Las Palmas0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction