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Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Cádiz

0–1

Sporting Gijón

0.6Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Cádiz would usually take 1.0 points and Sporting Gijón 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Cádiz.

Cádiz −1.0 pts vs chancesSporting Gijón +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Cádiz

Sporting Gijón

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Cádiz and Sporting Gijón ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Cádiz win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting Gijón – Albacete prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cádiz to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 547 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,814 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,906 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Cádiz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cádiz 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,405 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Sporting Gijón Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Gijón 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Cádiz0

Sporting Gijón1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Cádiz0

Sporting Gijón1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

141%

X26%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	59%	41%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	59%	41%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	31%	69%	64%	36%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%
	31%	69%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

131%

X45%

225%

1st Score

152%

X7%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

18%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

9.1%

2-1

8.8%

0-1

8.3%

1-2

7.8%

0-0

6.6%

2-0

6.3%

2-2

5.9%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.0%

1-3

3.4%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón — Recent Form

Sporting Gijón have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Cádiz have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sporting Gijón

Cádiz

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting Gijón

2/5

Cádiz

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sporting Gijón

3/5

Cádiz

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting Gijón

5/5

Cádiz

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting Gijón

3/5

Cádiz

3/5

First Half Result

Sporting Gijón

1/5

Cádiz

2/5

Correct Score

Sporting Gijón

0/5

Cádiz

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting Gijón – Albacete prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).