Always chasing
8/10Real Valladolid conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Real Valladolid vs Albacete Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Unlucky
Albacete are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−11points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Albacete 24% to winReal Valladolid 48%
Real Valladolid vs Albacete score prediction
La Liga 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the La Liga 2 average of 2.6.
goals expected
Real Valladolid1.4
Albacete1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Real Valladolid vs Albacete: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Real Valladolid vs Albacete — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Real Valladolid to win
Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,400 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,104 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,505 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Real Valladolid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Real Valladolid 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,405 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Albacete Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Albacete 0–1 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,313 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Valladolid vs Albacete — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Real Valladolid vs Albacete. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Real Valladolid–
Albacete–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Real Valladolid–Albacete–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
149%
X25%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 56% | 44% |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
137%
X45%
219%
1st Score
159%
X8%
233%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
18%
X-X
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Valladolid vs Albacete: the stats that stand out
La Liga 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Real Valladolid: always chasing and shot-shy · Albacete: leaky
8/10Leaky
0/10Albacete kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
Shot-shy
5/10Real Valladolid failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Real Valladolid vs Albacete: attack vs defence
La Liga 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Real Valladolid: good attack, weak defence (1.38 xG, 1.49 xGA a game)
- Albacete: good attack, good defence (1.53 xG, 1.33 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Real Valladolid vs Albacete form and luck check
La Liga 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga 2 gamesAlbacete are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Real ValladolidBookmakers: 48% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−3.9
- AlbaceteBookmakers: 24% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−10.9
Last 5 matches
Real ValladolidD
W
D
L
W
AlbaceteL
L
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Real Valladolid 16th of 22 · Albacete 17th of 22
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 22 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Real Valladolid vs Albacete: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredReal Valladolid and Albacete games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the La Liga 2 average (50%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Real Valladolid3 of 10
Albacete5 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Real Valladolid4 of 10
Albacete6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 470 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Real Valladolid vs Albacete corners, cards and goal times
La Liga 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameReal Valladolid score early, Albacete late
Real Valladolid
Albacete
3.7
Corners won · league 4.7
5.2
3.5
Corners conceded · league 4.7
4.3
3.7
Cards · league 2.7
1.8
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.7
1.6
63%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
50%
0%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
38%
43%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
41%
7%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
12%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Real Valladolid2/5
Albacete3/5
Both Teams to Score
Real Valladolid3/5
Albacete2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Real Valladolid2/5
Albacete2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Real Valladolid3/5
Albacete4/5
First Half Result
Real Valladolid2/5
Albacete1/5
Correct Score
Real Valladolid1/5
Albacete1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction