Shot-shy
6/10Sligo Rovers failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 25%).
League of Ireland Premier Division Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming League of Ireland Premier Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 28 October 2026.
Premier Division Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 36 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
61%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
55%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
68%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
40%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
9%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Premier Division 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 45%, BTTS 61%, Over/Under 2.5 55%, Over/Under 3.5 68%, correct score 9%.
League of Ireland Premier Division stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 182 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsDraws aplenty
Goals a match
2.75
30th of 63
xG a match
2.85
27th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
League of Ireland Premier Division: the stats that stand out
The League of Ireland Premier Division teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games6/10Fast starters
8/10Derry City scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 45%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Dundalk: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 60%).
Brick wall
5/10St Patrick's kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Goal-fests
8/10Bohemians games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 52%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Premier Division Republic of Ireland
Free predictions for today's League of Ireland Premier Division matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
St Patrick's–
Bohemians–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
St Patrick's–Bohemians–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
143%
X25%
232%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 52% | 48% |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 51% | 49% |
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
Dundalk–
Shamrock Rovers–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Dundalk–Shamrock Rovers–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Drogheda United–
Galway United–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Drogheda United–Galway United–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Sligo Rovers–
Derry City–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Sligo Rovers–Derry City–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Shelbourne–
Waterford United–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Shelbourne–Waterford United–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
League of Ireland Premier Division xG: chances created and allowed
Every League of Ireland Premier Division team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLeague of Ireland Premier Division average · 1.43 xG, 1.41 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 10
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →League of Ireland Premier Division Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in League of Ireland Premier Division this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −30◀ fewer than expected · −30 pts odds expected+30 more ▶+30 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
175 matches
40.6%
Season (175) · 40.6% vs 44.2%
Season
−3.6
±6.9
30 days (16) · 68.8% vs 47.1%
30 days
+21.6
±22.1
Draws
175 matches
30.9%
Season (175) · 30.9% vs 25.2%
Season
+5.7
±6.4
30 days (16) · 12.5% vs 22.7%
30 days
−10.2
±20.4
Away wins
175 matches
28.6%
Season (175) · 28.6% vs 30.6%
Season
−2.1
±6.4
30 days (16) · 18.8% vs 30.2%
30 days
−11.4
±20.5
Over 2.5 goals
175 matches
52.0%
Season (175) · 52.0% vs 50.4%
Season
+1.6
±7.3
30 days (16) · 62.5% vs 57.1%
30 days
+5.4
±24.1
Both teams scored
175 matches
60.0%
Season (175) · 60.0% vs 51.3%More than expected
Season
+8.7
±7.4More than expected
30 days (16) · 62.5% vs 53.9%
30 days
+8.6
±24.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
175 matches
32.6%
Season (175) · 32.6% vs 28.7%
Season
+3.9
±6.6
30 days (16) · 31.3% vs 35.4%
30 days
−4.2
±23.2
Home side ahead at half-time
175 matches
38.3%
Season (175) · 38.3% vs 33.9%
Season
+4.4
±6.8
30 days (16) · 50.0% vs 37.3%
30 days
+12.7
±22.6
Level at half-time
175 matches
36.6%
Season (175) · 36.6% vs 41.5%
Season
−4.9
±7.3
30 days (16) · 43.8% vs 38.3%
30 days
+5.4
±23.7
Away side ahead at half-time
175 matches
25.1%
Season (175) · 25.1% vs 24.6%
Season
+0.5
±6.2
30 days (16) · 6.3% vs 24.4%
30 days
−18.2
±20.2
Home team scored 2+
175 matches
46.9%
Season (175) · 46.9% vs 43.4%
Season
+3.5
±7.0
30 days (16) · 62.5% vs 49.5%
30 days
+13.0
±22.9
Away team scored 2+
175 matches
36.6%
Season (175) · 36.6% vs 32.6%
Season
+3.9
±6.7
30 days (16) · 18.8% vs 34.9%
30 days
−16.2
±22.1
Outside the normal range this season: Both teams scored 60.0% vs 51.3% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 45).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 175 | 40.6% | 44.2% | −3.6 | ±6.9 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 16 | 68.8% | 47.1% | +21.6 | ±22.1 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 175 | 30.9% | 25.2% | +5.7 | ±6.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 16 | 12.5% | 22.7% | −10.2 | ±20.4 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 175 | 28.6% | 30.6% | −2.1 | ±6.4 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 16 | 18.8% | 30.2% | −11.4 | ±20.5 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 175 | 52.0% | 50.4% | +1.6 | ±7.3 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 16 | 62.5% | 57.1% | +5.4 | ±24.1 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 175 | 60.0% | 51.3% | +8.7 | ±7.4 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 16 | 62.5% | 53.9% | +8.6 | ±24.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 175 | 32.6% | 28.7% | +3.9 | ±6.6 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 16 | 31.3% | 35.4% | −4.2 | ±23.2 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 175 | 38.3% | 33.9% | +4.4 | ±6.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 50.0% | 37.3% | +12.7 | ±22.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 175 | 36.6% | 41.5% | −4.9 | ±7.3 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 43.8% | 38.3% | +5.4 | ±23.7 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 175 | 25.1% | 24.6% | +0.5 | ±6.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 6.3% | 24.4% | −18.2 | ±20.2 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 175 | 46.9% | 43.4% | +3.5 | ±7.0 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 16 | 62.5% | 49.5% | +13.0 | ±22.9 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 175 | 36.6% | 32.6% | +3.9 | ±6.7 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 16 | 18.8% | 34.9% | −16.2 | ±22.1 | Normal range |
League of Ireland Premier Division luck check: the last 10 games
League of Ireland Premier Division teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it−7.8 = 8 points fewer than their chances usually bringUnlucky1
- DundalkWasteful · −3 goals−7.8
Points in line, but wasteful: St Patrick's (−6 goals).
In line with their chances: Drogheda United, Galway United, Derry City, Shamrock Rovers, Waterford United, Shelbourne, Sligo Rovers and Bohemians.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →League of Ireland Premier Division last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 21–Oct 28 · 5 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →League of Ireland Premier Division Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 68 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58:35 | +23 | W L W W W |
2  Bohemians | 35 | 62 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60:42 | +18 | L W L W W |
3  St Patrick's | 35 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53:28 | +25 | D L L W W |
4  Shelbourne | 35 | 49 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50:47 | +3 | W W W D W |
5  Derry City | 35 | 47 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 48:45 | +3 | W W L W D |
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares League of Ireland Premier Division with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About League of Ireland Premier Division
The League of Ireland Premier Division is the top football league in the Republic of Ireland, known for sponsorship reasons as the SSE Airtricity League Premier Division. Founded in 1985, it has 10 clubs that play each other four times, twice at home and twice away, over 36 rounds. Unlike most European leagues, it runs within the calendar year, from February to the end of October. The champions enter the UEFA Champions League qualifying rounds, the bottom club is relegated and the ninth-placed team plays a promotion/relegation play-off against a First Division side. Shamrock Rovers are the most successful club in the league's history.