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8/10Derry City scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 45%).
League of Ireland Premier Division Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming League of Ireland Premier Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 8 October 2026.
Premier Division Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 33 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
60%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
53%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
66%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
38%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
7%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Premier Division 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 42%, BTTS 60%, Over/Under 2.5 53%, Over/Under 3.5 66%, correct score 7%.
League of Ireland Premier Division stats compared with other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 180 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsDraws aplenty
Goals a match
2.71
33rd of 63
xG a match
2.85
25th of 62
Corners a match
10.12
18th of 62
Cards a match
4.42
25th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
League of Ireland Premier Division: the stats that stand out
The League of Ireland Premier Division teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games8/10Banker as favourites
8/10Bohemians won 8 of 10 as favourites (league 48%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Dundalk: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 60%).
Brick wall
5/10St Patrick's kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Shot-shy
5/10Sligo Rovers failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Hard to break
2/10Waterford United conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 45%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Premier Division Republic of Ireland
Free predictions for today's League of Ireland Premier Division matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Shamrock Rovers–
Drogheda United–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Shamrock Rovers–Drogheda United–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
164%
X21%
216%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13% | 87% | 37% | 63% |
 | 48% | 52% | 77% | 23% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 51% | 49% |
Correct Score
2-1
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
Shelbourne–
Sligo Rovers–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Shelbourne–Sligo Rovers–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
St Patrick's–Shelbourne–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
St Patrick's–Shelbourne–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Galway United–Shamrock Rovers–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Galway United–Shamrock Rovers–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Drogheda United–
Derry City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Drogheda United–Derry City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Bohemians–
Waterford United–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Bohemians–Waterford United–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Sligo Rovers–
Dundalk–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Sligo Rovers–Dundalk–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Waterford United–Galway United–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Waterford United–Galway United–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Derry City–St Patrick's–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Derry City–St Patrick's–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
League of Ireland Premier Division attack vs defence: chances created and allowed
Every League of Ireland Premier Division team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLeague of Ireland Premier Division average · 1.52 xG, 1.47 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 10
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →League of Ireland Premier Division Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in League of Ireland Premier Division this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −30◀ fewer than expected · −30 pts odds expected+30 more ▶+30 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
160 matches
37.5%
Season (160) · 37.5% vs 43.7%
Season
−6.2
±7.2
30 days (16) · 31.3% vs 39.5%
30 days
−8.3
±22.5
Draws
160 matches
32.5%
Season (160) · 32.5% vs 25.4%More than expected
Season
+7.1
±6.7More than expected
30 days (16) · 18.8% vs 24.2%
30 days
−5.4
±20.9
Away wins
160 matches
30.0%
Season (160) · 30.0% vs 30.9%
Season
−0.9
±6.7
30 days (16) · 50.0% vs 36.3%
30 days
+13.7
±22.1
Over 2.5 goals
160 matches
51.3%
Season (160) · 51.3% vs 49.8%
Season
+1.4
±7.7
30 days (16) · 56.3% vs 56.2%
30 days
0.0
±24.2
Both teams scored
160 matches
60.0%
Season (160) · 60.0% vs 51.1%More than expected
Season
+8.9
±7.7More than expected
30 days (16) · 62.5% vs 56.5%
30 days
+6.0
±24.2
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
160 matches
32.5%
Season (160) · 32.5% vs 28.1%
Season
+4.4
±6.9
30 days (16) · 37.5% vs 34.0%
30 days
+3.5
±23.1
Home side ahead at half-time
160 matches
36.9%
Season (160) · 36.9% vs 33.5%
Season
+3.4
±7.1
30 days (16) · 37.5% vs 31.7%
30 days
+5.8
±22.2
Level at half-time
160 matches
35.6%
Season (160) · 35.6% vs 41.8%
Season
−6.2
±7.6
30 days (16) · 37.5% vs 39.6%
30 days
−2.1
±23.9
Away side ahead at half-time
160 matches
27.5%
Season (160) · 27.5% vs 24.7%
Season
+2.8
±6.5
30 days (16) · 25.0% vs 28.7%
30 days
−3.7
±21.5
Home team scored 2+
160 matches
45.0%
Season (160) · 45.0% vs 42.7%
Season
+2.3
±7.4
30 days (16) · 43.8% vs 43.7%
30 days
+0.1
±23.7
Away team scored 2+
160 matches
38.8%
Season (160) · 38.8% vs 32.6%
Season
+6.2
±7.0
30 days (16) · 50.0% vs 40.7%
30 days
+9.3
±23.2
Outside the normal range this season: Draws 32.5% vs 25.4% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 25); Both teams scored 60.0% vs 51.1% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 40).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 160 | 37.5% | 43.7% | −6.2 | ±7.2 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 16 | 31.3% | 39.5% | −8.3 | ±22.5 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 160 | 32.5% | 25.4% | +7.1 | ±6.7 | More than expected |
| Draws | 30 days | 16 | 18.8% | 24.2% | −5.4 | ±20.9 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 160 | 30.0% | 30.9% | −0.9 | ±6.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 16 | 50.0% | 36.3% | +13.7 | ±22.1 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 160 | 51.3% | 49.8% | +1.4 | ±7.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 16 | 56.3% | 56.2% | 0.0 | ±24.2 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 160 | 60.0% | 51.1% | +8.9 | ±7.7 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 16 | 62.5% | 56.5% | +6.0 | ±24.2 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 160 | 32.5% | 28.1% | +4.4 | ±6.9 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 16 | 37.5% | 34.0% | +3.5 | ±23.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 160 | 36.9% | 33.5% | +3.4 | ±7.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 37.5% | 31.7% | +5.8 | ±22.2 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 160 | 35.6% | 41.8% | −6.2 | ±7.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 37.5% | 39.6% | −2.1 | ±23.9 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 160 | 27.5% | 24.7% | +2.8 | ±6.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 16 | 25.0% | 28.7% | −3.7 | ±21.5 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 160 | 45.0% | 42.7% | +2.3 | ±7.4 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 16 | 43.8% | 43.7% | +0.1 | ±23.7 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 160 | 38.8% | 32.6% | +6.2 | ±7.0 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 16 | 50.0% | 40.7% | +9.3 | ±23.2 | Normal range |
League of Ireland Premier Division luck check: the last 10 games
League of Ireland Premier Division teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+5.1 = 5 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck1
- BohemiansClinical · +3 goals+5.1
Unlucky1
- Dundalk−6.8
Points in line, but clinical: Derry City (+3 goals).
In line with their chances: Shamrock Rovers, Waterford United, Galway United, Drogheda United, St Patrick's, Sligo Rovers and Shelbourne.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →League of Ireland Premier Division last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 1–Oct 8 · 1 match · odds: closing, margin removedNo smash-and-grab wins or upsets in this match.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →League of Ireland Premier Division Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  St Patrick's | 32 | 59 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | +27 | W W W L W |
2  Bohemians | 32 | 59 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57:38 | +19 | W W W W W |
3  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 59 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | +18 | W L D D W |
4  Derry City | 32 | 41 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | +3 | W D W D L |
5  Dundalk | 33 | 41 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:55 | -5 | L L L D W |
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About League of Ireland Premier Division
The league profile compares League of Ireland Premier Division with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
The League of Ireland Premier Division is the top football league in the Republic of Ireland, known for sponsorship reasons as the SSE Airtricity League Premier Division. Founded in 1985, it has 10 clubs that play each other four times, twice at home and twice away, over 36 rounds. Unlike most European leagues, it runs within the calendar year, from February to the end of October. The champions enter the UEFA Champions League qualifying rounds, the bottom club is relegated and the ninth-placed team plays a promotion/relegation play-off against a First Division side. Shamrock Rovers are the most successful club in the league's history.