Guadalajara vs Toluca 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

The match between Guadalajara and Toluca ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Guadalajara win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Puebla – Guadalajara prediction & betting tips (Aug 1, 2026).

Guadalajara vs Toluca — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 1 · Apertura

Full-Time Result

46.7% implied

Guadalajara50%1/2+7.1%Above implied probability
Toluca0%0/2-100%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.6% implied

Guadalajara0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Toluca50%1/2-8.4%Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

Guadalajara0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Toluca50%1/2-8.3%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.1% implied

Guadalajara100%2/2+66.4%Strongly above implied probability
Toluca100%2/2+66.4%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.8% implied

Guadalajara0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Toluca50%1/2+28.9%Strongly above implied probability
Guadalajara0%0/2
Toluca0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Guadalajara and Toluca across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Guadalajara hit at 100% accuracy — that's 66.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Toluca sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Guadalajara vs Toluca 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Guadalajara vs Toluca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
GuadalajaraGuadalajara0
TolucaToluca2

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS**

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

142%
X24%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Guadalajara25%75%56%44%
Toluca32%68%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Guadalajara80%20%93%7%
Toluca85%15%95%5%

1st Half

136%
X43%
221%

1st Score

158%
X6%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

18%

X-X

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.2%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

7.7%

0-1

7.0%

2-0

6.4%

0-0

6.0%

2-2

5.7%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

3.5%

1-3

3.5%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Guadalajara vs Toluca — Prediction Form & Streaks

Toluca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Guadalajara have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
1 in a row
TolucaToluca
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
0 in a row
TolucaToluca
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
0 in a row
TolucaToluca
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
2 in a row
TolucaToluca
2 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
0 in a row
TolucaToluca
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
0 in a row
TolucaToluca
0 in a row

Guadalajara & Toluca Teams in Best Form

TolucaToluca
L
W
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
W
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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