Toluca vs Pumas UNAM 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

The match between Toluca and Pumas UNAM ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Toluca win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Juárez – Pumas UNAM prediction & betting tips (Aug 1, 2026).

Toluca vs Pumas UNAM — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 2 · Apertura

Full-Time Result

46.3% implied

Toluca0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Pumas UNAM0%0/2-100%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.7% implied

Toluca50%1/2-8.6%Near implied probability
Pumas UNAM50%1/2-8.6%Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

Toluca50%1/2-8.3%Near implied probability
Pumas UNAM100%2/2+83.5%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.9% implied

Toluca100%2/2+66.9%Strongly above implied probability
Pumas UNAM100%2/2+66.9%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.6% implied

Toluca50%1/2+29.5%Strongly above implied probability
Pumas UNAM50%1/2+29.5%Strongly above implied probability
Toluca0%0/2
Pumas UNAM0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Toluca and Pumas UNAM across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Pumas UNAM hit at 100% accuracy — that's 83.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Toluca sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Toluca vs Pumas UNAM 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Toluca vs Pumas UNAM. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
TolucaToluca1
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM2

Winner

1 52%

BTTS**

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

152%
X25%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Toluca21%79%51%49%
Pumas UNAM42%58%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Toluca75%25%90%10%
Pumas UNAM91%9%98%2%

1st Half

140%
X40%
220%

1st Score

155%
X7%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

8.5%

0-0

7.5%

0-1

6.5%

1-2

5.7%

3-1

5.1%

2-2

5.0%

3-0

4.8%

3-2

3.2%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Toluca vs Pumas UNAM — Prediction Form & Streaks

Toluca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Pumas UNAM have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
TolucaToluca
0 in a row
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
TolucaToluca
1 in a row
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
TolucaToluca
1 in a row
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
2 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
TolucaToluca
2 in a row
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
2 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
TolucaToluca
1 in a row
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
TolucaToluca
0 in a row
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
0 in a row

Toluca & Pumas UNAM Teams in Best Form

TolucaToluca
L
W
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
W
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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