Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
Toluca vs Necaxa — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 3 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
47.3% implied
Toluca0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Necaxa100%1/1+111.4%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.7% implied
Toluca50%1/2-8.6%Near implied probabilityNecaxa100%1/1+82.8%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.6% implied
Toluca50%1/2-8.4%Near implied probabilityNecaxa100%1/1+83.2%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.6% implied
Toluca100%2/2+67.8%Strongly above implied probabilityNecaxa100%1/1+67.8%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
Toluca50%1/2+28.5%Strongly above implied probabilityNecaxa100%1/1+157.1%Strongly above implied probabilityToluca0/2Necaxa0/1Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Toluca and Necaxa across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Necaxa hit at 100% accuracy — that's 157.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Toluca sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Toluca vs Necaxa — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Toluca vs Necaxa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Toluca–
Necaxa–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Toluca–Necaxa–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
| 49% | 51% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
18%
X-X
12%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-0
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Toluca vs Necaxa — Prediction Form & Streaks
Toluca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Necaxa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
TolucaNecaxaTolucaNecaxaTolucaNecaxaTolucaNecaxaTolucaNecaxaTolucaNecaxaToluca & Necaxa Teams in Best Form
TolucaNecaxa