Fast starters
8/9Saint-Étienne scored first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 44%).
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Saint-Étienne vs Rodez
3.2goals expected · Ligue 2 average 2.5
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 66%
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez score prediction
Ligue 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.2 goals expected
3.2 goals in total: more goals than a typical Ligue 2 game (average 2.5).
goals expected
Saint-Étienne2.0
Rodez1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Saint-Étienne to win
Our model 59%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 1,739 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,009 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 882 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Saint-Étienne ahead at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Saint-Étienne Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Saint-Étienne 2+ goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Rodez Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rodez 0–1 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,266 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Saint-Étienne vs Rodez. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Saint-Étienne–
Rodez–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Saint-Étienne–Rodez–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
159%
X22%
219%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 40% | 60% |
| 43% | 57% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 83% | 17% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
141%
X40%
219%
1st Score
164%
X4%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
17%
X-X
13%
2-2
9%
X-2
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.1%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Saint-Étienne vs Rodez: the stats that stand out
Ligue 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Saint-Étienne: fast starters, banker as favourites and always on the scoresheet
8/9Banker as favourites
6/9Saint-Étienne won 6 of 9 as favourites (league 44%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Saint-Étienne failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 29%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Saint-Étienne vs Rodez: attack vs defence
Ligue 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Saint-Étienne: good attack, good defence (1.69 xG, 0.91 xGA a game)
- Rodez: good attack, weak defence (1.68 xG, 1.37 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Saint-Étienne vs Rodez form and luck check
Ligue 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 2 gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Saint-ÉtienneBookmakers: 67% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesClinical · +8 goals+0.1
- RodezBookmakers: 13% to win today. · 8 of 10 games−2.6
Last 5 matches
Saint-ÉtienneD
L
W
W
W
RodezL
L
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Saint-Étienne 1st of 18 · Rodez 9th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Saint-Étienne vs Rodez: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSaint-Étienne and Rodez games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ligue 2 average (47%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%
Saint-Étienne9 of 10
Rodez7 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Saint-Étienne6 of 10
Rodez7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 288 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Saint-Étienne vs Rodez corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSaint-Étienne: last 9 with these statsRodez: last 8 with these statsGoal times close to the Ligue 2 average
Saint-Étienne
Rodez
4.6
Corners won · league 4.6
6.4
3.9
Corners conceded · league 4.6
5.1
1.6
Cards · league 2.1
1.3
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.5
48%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
44%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
25%
30%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
59%
30%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
6%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Saint-Étienne3/5
Rodez1/5
Both Teams to Score
Saint-Étienne4/5
Rodez3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Saint-Étienne4/5
Rodez3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Saint-Étienne1/5
Rodez1/5
First Half Result
Saint-Étienne4/5
Rodez0/5
Correct Score
Saint-Étienne0/5
Rodez0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction