Brick wall
4/7Sochaux kept 4 clean sheets in their last 7 (league 29%).
Metz vs Sochaux Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Riding their luck
Sochaux are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 7 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Metz vs Sochaux score prediction
Ligue 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Metz expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, a little over the Ligue 2 average of 2.5.
goals expected
Metz1.6Sochaux1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Metz vs Sochaux will be played on Saturday, October 17 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 9 of the Ligue 2, played in France. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Metz vs Sochaux, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Metz vs Sochaux — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Metz vs Sochaux. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Metz–
Sochaux–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Metz–Sochaux–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
143%
X29%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% |
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
134%
X46%
221%
1st Score
156%
X10%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
18%
X-1
16%
2-2
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Metz vs Sochaux: the stats that stand out
Ligue 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Sochaux: brick wall
4/7Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Metz vs Sochaux: attack vs defence
Ligue 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Metz: good attack, weak defence (1.38 xG, 1.68 xGA a game)
- Sochaux: weak attack, weak defence (0.91 xG, 1.66 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Metz vs Sochaux form and luck check
Ligue 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 2 gamesSochaux are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Metz7 of 10 games+1.6
- Sochaux7 of 10 games+4.6
Last 5 matches
SochauxD
W
D
D
W
MetzD
L
W
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Metz 4th of 18 · Sochaux 15th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Metz vs Sochaux: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Ligue 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredMetz and Sochaux games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Ligue 2 average (47%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%
Metz3 of 7
Sochaux1 of 7
BTTSleague 54%
Metz5 of 7
Sochaux2 of 7
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 288 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Metz vs Sochaux corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameMetz: last 7 with these statsSochaux: last 7 with these statsGoal times close to the Ligue 2 average
Metz
Sochaux
4.6
Corners won · league 4.6
2.9
5.7
Corners conceded · league 4.6
7.0
1.7
Cards · league 2.1
1.1
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.4
40%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
25%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
25%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
80%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Sochaux1/5
Metz2/5
Both Teams to Score
Sochaux1/5
Metz4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Sochaux4/5
Metz4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Sochaux5/5
Metz3/5
First Half Result
Sochaux3/5
Metz4/5
Correct Score
Sochaux2/5
Metz2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction